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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
PEN
2 - 1
Tigres UANL
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava, Mexico
Toluca
Match Timeline
Tigres UANL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Federico Pereira
Toluca
⚽
14'
F. Gorriaran · Assist: A. Gignac
Tigres UANL
⚽
40'
Helinho · Assist: F. Romero
Toluca
🟨
45+3'
Santiago Simón
Toluca
🔄
46'
M. Farfan ↔ J. Aquino
Tigres UANL
⚽
52'
Paulinho · Assist: Helinho
Toluca
🔄
57'
A. Gignac ↔ N. Ibanez
Tigres UANL
🟨
64'
Ángel Correa
Tigres UANL
🟨
69'
Paulinho
Toluca
🔄
73'
Helinho ↔ J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
Toluca
🟨
78'
Juan Brunetta
Tigres UANL
🔄
80'
J. Angulo ↔ A. Vega
Toluca
🔄
90+3'
Paulinho ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
90'
N. Castro ↔ Bruno Mendez
Toluca
🔄
90'
J. Brunetta ↔ O. Herrera
Tigres UANL
🟨
96'
Fernando Gorriarán
Tigres UANL
🔄
105'
Romulo ↔ J. Vigon
Tigres UANL
🔄
105'
D. Lainez ↔ U. Antuna
Tigres UANL
🔄
112'
E. del Villar ↔ O. Virgen
Toluca
🔄
113'
M. Ruiz ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🟨
117'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
🟥
145'
Franco Romero
Toluca
🟥
145'
Juan Vigón
Tigres UANL

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.69
Tigres UANL1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
WLDWL
43 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
12
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
5.55
Shots on Goal
5.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 22 matches
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 22 matches
Toluca Statistic Tigres UANL
13 Wins 12
5 Draws 8
4 Losses 2
48 Goals For 43
23 Goals Against 21
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
12 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 3
5.55 Shots On Goal 5.95
16.68 Total Shots 16.27
5.18 Corners 5.55
54.7% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Tigres UANL won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Tigres UANL wins 5
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
Shots on Goal
12
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 5
17 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
67% Ball Possession 33%
31 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 2
16 Shots insidebox 2
15 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 10
656 Total passes 322
544 Passes accurate 209
2.49 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Tigres UANL
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
S. Simon
S. Simon
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
E. del Villar
↓
E. del Villar
J. Gallardo
J. Gallardo
M. Ruiz
↓
M. Ruiz
F. Romero
🎯
F. Romero
Helinho
⚽ 🎯 ↓
Helinho
J. Angulo
↓
J. Angulo
N. Castro
↓
N. Castro
Paulinho
⚽ ↓
Paulinho
N. Guzman
N. Guzman
J. Garza
J. Garza
Joaquim
Joaquim
J. Sanchez
J. Sanchez
M. Farfan
↓
M. Farfan
Romulo
↓
Romulo
F. Gorriaran
⚽
F. Gorriaran
D. Lainez
↓
D. Lainez
A. Correa
A. Correa
J. Brunetta
↓
J. Brunetta
A. Gignac
🎯 ↓
A. Gignac
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
19
S. Simon
🟨 45+3'
D
6
F. Pereira
🟨 12'
D
25
E. del Villar
↓ 112'
D
20
J. Gallardo
D
14
M. Ruiz
↓ 113'
M
5
F. Romero
🎯 40' 🟥 145'
M
11
Helinho
⚽ 40' 🎯 52' ↓ 73'
M
10
J. Angulo
↓ 80'
M
8
N. Castro
↓ 90'
M
26
Paulinho
⚽ 52' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 69'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
↑ 90+3' 🟨 117'
D
3
A. Briseno
D
17
M. Isais
D
4
Bruno Mendez
↑ 90'
D
24
F. Arce
↑ 113'
M
7
J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
↑ 73'
M
16
H. Herrera
M
9
A. Vega
↑ 80'
F
23
O. Virgen
↑ 112'
F
Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
N. Guzman
G
14
J. Garza
2
Joaquim
D
4
J. Sanchez
D
3
M. Farfan
↓ 46'
D
23
Romulo
↓ 105'
M
8
F. Gorriaran
⚽ 14' 🟨 96'
M
16
D. Lainez
↓ 105'
M
7
A. Correa
🟨 64'
M
11
J. Brunetta
↓ 90' 🟨 78'
M
10
A. Gignac
🎯 14' ↓ 57'
F
Substitutes
25
F. Rodriguez
G
33
R. Guerrero
D
35
O. Rodriguez
D
20
J. Aquino
↑ 46'
M
24
M. Flores
M
6
J. Vigon
↑ 105' 🟥 145'
M
22
U. Antuna
↑ 105'
F
77
O. Herrera
↑ 90'
F
9
N. Ibanez
↑ 57'
F
19
I. Lopez
D
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
16.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
2
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
2
D
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
H2H: Toluca vs Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Toluca
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
16.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
13.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
0
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Puebla
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club America
4
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
04.02.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Forge
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Leon
2
1
W
12.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
04.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
H2H away: Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
L

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL Away
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs