Toluca
Match Timeline
Tigres UANL
Toluca vs Tigres UANL Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.69
Tigres UANL1.59
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Tigres UANL
WLDWL
43 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
12
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
5.55
Shots on Goal
5.95
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
22 matches
Tigres UANL
22 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 12 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 48 | Goals For | 43 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.95 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.55 | Shots On Goal | 5.95 |
| 16.68 | Total Shots | 16.27 |
| 5.18 | Corners | 5.55 |
| 54.7% | Ball Possession | 54.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Tigres UANL won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Tigres UANL wins 5
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
Away
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs