Toluca
Match Timeline
Santos Laguna
Toluca vs Santos Laguna Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Santos Laguna Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.97
Santos Laguna1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
51 GF / 24 GA
Santos Laguna
WLDWL
23 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
13
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
11
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.17
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
24 matches
Santos Laguna
18 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Santos Laguna |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 10 |
| 51 | Goals For | 23 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.72 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.17 |
| 17.17 | Total Shots | 10.5 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 54.5% | Ball Possession | 44.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 9 times, Santos Laguna won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:22 from Toluca's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.79 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Santos Laguna 4-4-2
H2H summary: Toluca wins 9, draws 1, Santos Laguna wins 4
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Santos Laguna
Away
|
17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs