07.05.2026 01:30
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: J. Calderon
Toluca
Match Timeline
Los Angeles FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Ryan Porteous
Los Angeles FC
🔄
46'
J. Shaffelburg ↔ R. Hollingshead
Los Angeles FC
49'
Helinho
Toluca
58'
E. del Villar
Toluca
🟨
59'
Nicolás Castro
Toluca
🔄
59'
M. Choiniere ↔ S. Eustaquio
Los Angeles FC
🔄
59'
T. Tillman ↔ D. Martinez
Los Angeles FC
🔄
74'
M. Isais ↔ D. Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
76'
S. Palencia ↔ A. Smolyakov
Los Angeles FC
🔄
77'
A. Long ↔ J. Ebobisse
Los Angeles FC
🔄
82'
Helinho ↔ F. Arce
Toluca
🔄
82'
J. Angulo ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
🟥
86'
Ryan Porteous
Los Angeles FC
🔄
90+2'
N. Castro ↔ A. Briseno
Toluca
90'
Paulinho · Assist: P. Perez
Toluca
90'
Paulinho · Assist: P. Perez
Toluca

Toluca vs Los Angeles FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 14.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
12.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
14.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 61.2%
Draw 0%
Los Angeles FC Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.98
Los Angeles FC1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
14 GF / 7 GA
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
WLDWL
39 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
2.8
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
3
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
10
6.2
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 5 matches
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 21 matches
Toluca Statistic Los Angeles FC
3 Wins 12
0 Draws 7
2 Losses 2
14 Goals For 39
7 Goals Against 16
2.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
3 BTTS Yes 10
5 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 11
0 Failed To Score 2
6.2 Shots On Goal 4.83
17.4 Total Shots 12.67
4.4 Corners 5.06
60.4% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 1 times, Los Angeles FC won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Toluca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Los Angeles FC 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 1, draws 0, Los Angeles FC wins 2