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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
2 - 0
Guadalajara Chivas
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Referee: O. M. Garcia
Toluca
Match Timeline
Guadalajara Chivas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
3'
Paulinho
Toluca
⚽
5'
J. Gallardo
Toluca
🟨
13'
Franco Romero
Toluca
⚽
16'
J. Diaz · Assist: Paulinho
Toluca
🔄
40'
L. Romo ↔ B. Gutierrez
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
45+7'
Diego Barbosa
Toluca
🔄
46'
S. Simon ↔ E. del Villar
Toluca
🔄
46'
J. Castillo ↔ S. Sandoval
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
46'
E. Alvarez ↔ A. Sepulveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
46'
R. Ledezma ↔ H. Camberos
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
51'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
🟨
53'
Fernando González
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
60'
A. Gonzalez ↔ R. Marin
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
64'
Daniel Aguirre
Guadalajara Chivas
🟨
67'
Ángel Sepúlveda
Guadalajara Chivas
🔄
71'
J. Diaz ↔ Helinho
Toluca
🔄
75'
J. Angulo ↔ P. Perez
Toluca
🟨
90+2'
Marcel Ruíz
Toluca
🔄
90+3'
J. Gallardo ↔ Luan
Toluca
🔄
90+4'
M. Ruiz ↔ F. Arce
Toluca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.66
Guadalajara Chivas1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
59 GF / 26 GA
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
43 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.97
Average Goals Scored
1.65
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
15
5.67
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 30 matches
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 26 matches
Toluca Statistic Guadalajara Chivas
18 Wins 15
8 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
59 Goals For 43
26 Goals Against 31
1.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
15 BTTS Yes 14
20 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 15
12 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 6
5.67 Shots On Goal 4.54
17.27 Total Shots 14.54
5.53 Corners 5.42
55.6% Ball Possession 54.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Toluca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 7, Guadalajara Chivas wins 3
Stats
Toluca Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 15
3 Offsides 5
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 2
2 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
351 Total passes 411
279 Passes accurate 338
1.41 expected_goals 0.67
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
Guadalajara Chivas
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
D. Barbosa
D. Barbosa
Bruno Mendez
Bruno Mendez
F. Pereira
F. Pereira
J. Gallardo
⚽ ↓
J. Gallardo
F. Romero
F. Romero
M. Ruiz
↓
M. Ruiz
S. Simon
↓
S. Simon
J. Angulo
↓
J. Angulo
J. Diaz
⚽ ↓
J. Diaz
Paulinho
🎯
Paulinho
R. Rangel
R. Rangel
D. Campillo Del Campo
D. Campillo Del Campo
L. Romo
↓
L. Romo
J. Castillo
↓
J. Castillo
R. Ledezma
↓
R. Ledezma
F. Gonzalez
F. Gonzalez
D. Aguirre
D. Aguirre
B. Gonzalez
B. Gonzalez
R. Alvarado
R. Alvarado
E. Alvarez
↓
E. Alvarez
A. Gonzalez
↓
A. Gonzalez
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
2
D. Barbosa
🟨 45+7'
D
4
Bruno Mendez
D
6
F. Pereira
D
20
J. Gallardo
⚽ 5' ↓ 90+3' 🟨 51'
D
5
F. Romero
🟨 13'
M
14
M. Ruiz
↓ 90+4' 🟨 90+2'
M
19
S. Simon
↓ 46'
M
10
J. Angulo
↓ 75'
M
29
J. Diaz
⚽ 16' ↓ 71'
M
26
Paulinho
🎯 16'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
3
A. Briseno
D
13
Luan
↑ 90+3'
D
17
M. Isais
D
25
E. del Villar
↑ 46'
D
7
S. Cordova
M
15
P. Perez
↑ 75'
M
24
F. Arce
↑ 90+4'
M
11
Helinho
↑ 71'
F
27
F. Rossi
F
Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Rangel
G
19
D. Campillo Del Campo
D
7
L. Romo
↓ 40'
D
2
J. Castillo
↓ 46'
D
37
R. Ledezma
↓ 46'
M
28
F. Gonzalez
🟨 53'
M
23
D. Aguirre
🟨 64'
M
5
B. Gonzalez
M
25
R. Alvarado
F
10
E. Alvarez
↓ 46'
F
34
A. Gonzalez
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
13
O. Whalley
G
3
G. Sepulveda
D
24
M. Gomez
D
6
O. Govea
M
11
B. Gutierrez
↑ 40'
M
226
S. Sandoval
↑ 46'
17
R. Marin
↑ 60'
F
20
A. Sepulveda
↑ 46' 🟨 67'
F
26
H. Camberos
↑ 46'
M
31
Y. Padilla
F
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
01.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
1
D
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
1
0
W
H2H: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
19.07.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
21.09.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
W
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
07.07.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
09.05.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
0
L
31.01.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
3
2
L
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
26.03.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
2
W
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
17.10.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
1
D
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Toluca
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
01.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
0
0
D
01.12.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
03.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
06.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
27.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
2
0
W
14.09.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club America
2
1
W
H2H away: Guadalajara Chivas
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas Away
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs