Toluca
Match Timeline
FC Juarez
Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.8%
|
1.30 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.42 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.9%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.80 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 61.8%
Draw 7.1%
FC Juarez Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.12
FC Juarez1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
30 GF / 16 GA
FC Juarez
WLDWL
15 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
8
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
6
6.25
Shots on Goal
1.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
14 matches
FC Juarez
10 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | FC Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 30 | Goals For | 15 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 2.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.1 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 6.25 | Shots On Goal | 1.6 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 8.2 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 2.8 |
| 59.9% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 8 times, FC Juarez won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / FC Juarez 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 8, draws 4, FC Juarez wins 3
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Toluca
Home
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 |
FC Juarez
Away
|
7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:21 | -18 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)