MEXICO › LIGA MX

31.08.2026 00:00

Toluca

4 - 0

FC Juarez

Estadio Nemesio Diez

Referee: Abraham de Jesus Quirarte Contreras, Mexico

Toluca

Match Timeline

FC Juarez

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Toluca vs FC Juarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 61.8%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 66.7%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	61.8%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	66.7%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	83.9%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Toluca Win 61.8%

Draw 7.1%

FC Juarez Win 31.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Toluca2.12

FC Juarez1.36

Recent Form (Last 5)

Toluca

WWDLW

30 GF / 16 GA

FC Juarez

WLDWL

15 GF / 21 GA

Key Stats

2.14

Average Goals Scored

1.5

1.14

Average Goals Conceded

2.1

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.25

Shots on Goal

1.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca 14 matches

FC Juarez 10 matches

Toluca	Statistic	FC Juarez
7	Wins	3
3	Draws	2
4	Losses	5
30	Goals For	15
16	Goals Against	21
2.14	Avg Goals Scored	1.5
1.14	Avg Goals Conceded	2.1
8	BTTS Yes	7
12	Over 1.5	8
10	Over 2.5	6
6	Over 3.5	5
5	Clean Sheets	1
2	Failed To Score	2
6.25	Shots On Goal	1.6
18	Total Shots	8.2
4.92	Corners	2.8
59.9%	Ball Possession	43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 8 times, FC Juarez won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:14 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.9%)

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-3-1-2 / FC Juarez 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Toluca wins 8, draws 4, FC Juarez wins 3

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Club America	10	6	3	1	22:11	11	21	D W D L W
2	Toluca Home	11	6	2	3	25:15	10	20	L D L W W
3	Club Queretaro	10	6	2	2	15:8	7	20	W W D W W
4	Guadalajara Chivas	11	5	4	2	18:11	7	19	D L D W W
5	Leon	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18	D W D W L
6	Atlas	11	5	3	3	17:18	-1	18	D W D L D
7	Cruz Azul	11	5	2	4	22:21	1	17	D D L W W
8	Club Tijuana	10	4	3	3	15:14	1	15	D L D L W
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15	D L D L W
10	Monterrey	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14	D L W D L
11	CF Pachuca	11	3	4	4	18:14	4	13	D L D W W
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	11	3	4	4	17:19	-2	13	D L D L W
13	Tigres UANL	11	3	4	4	13:15	-2	13	W W L D D
14	Santos Laguna	11	4	1	6	12:16	-4	13	W W W W L
15	Atletico San Luis	11	3	3	5	15:20	-5	12	L W W L L
16	Atlante FC	11	2	5	4	12:17	-5	11	L W D L D
17	Necaxa	11	2	3	6	15:23	-8	9	D L L L D
18	FC Juarez Away	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4	D L W L L

Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)