Toluca
Match Timeline
Cruz Azul
Toluca vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Cruz Azul Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.66
Cruz Azul1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
54 GF / 25 GA
Cruz Azul
WLDWL
45 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.8
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
14
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
13
5.7
Shots on Goal
6.04
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
27 matches
Cruz Azul
25 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 54 | Goals For | 45 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.7 | Shots On Goal | 6.04 |
| 17.48 | Total Shots | 17.4 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 57% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 4 times, Cruz Azul won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Toluca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 5-3-2 / Cruz Azul 3-4-3
H2H summary: Toluca wins 4, draws 4, Cruz Azul wins 7
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
Cruz Azul
Away
|
17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
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