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MEXICO › LIGA MX
27.10.2025 01:00
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Referee: Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico
Toluca
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
J. Gallardo · Assist: J. Angulo
Toluca
⚽
25'
Paulinho · Assist: A. Vega
Toluca
🟨
28'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
⚽
45'
E. Valencia · Assist: V. Guzman
CF Pachuca
🟨
48'
Alan Bautista
CF Pachuca
⚽
54'
E. Valencia
CF Pachuca
🟨
57'
Paulinho
Toluca
🟨
58'
Alexis Vega
Toluca
🟨
58'
Sergio Barreto
CF Pachuca
🔄
58'
W. Carvalho ↔ C. Sanchez
CF Pachuca
🔄
66'
N. Castro ↔ E. del Villar
Toluca
🔄
72'
G. Togni ↔ I. Luna
CF Pachuca
🔄
75'
A. Vega ↔ R. Morales
Toluca
🟥
76'
Alan Bautista
CF Pachuca
🔄
82'
F. Pereira ↔ H. Herrera
Toluca
🔄
83'
E. Valencia ↔ J. Cadiz
CF Pachuca
🟨
85'
Carlos Sánchez
CF Pachuca
🟨
90+7'
Carlos Moreno
CF Pachuca

Toluca vs CF Pachuca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
CF Pachuca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.16
CF Pachuca1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
39 GF / 16 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
6.21
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 14 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 matches
Toluca Statistic CF Pachuca
10 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
39 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 17
2.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
6.21 Shots On Goal 4.43
17.07 Total Shots 14.79
4.93 Corners 5.07
54.4% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, CF Pachuca won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:31 from Toluca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 3, CF Pachuca wins 7

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2 17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3 17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4 17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5 17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6 17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7 17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8 17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9 17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10 17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11 17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12 17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13 17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14 17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15 17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16 17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17 17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18 17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs