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MEXICO › LIGA MX
--.--.---- --:--
Toluca
FT
2 - 2
CF Pachuca
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Referee: Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico
Toluca
Match Timeline
CF Pachuca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
J. Gallardo · Assist: J. Angulo
Toluca
⚽
25'
Paulinho · Assist: A. Vega
Toluca
🟨
28'
Jesús Gallardo
Toluca
⚽
45'
E. Valencia · Assist: V. Guzman
CF Pachuca
🟨
48'
Alan Bautista
CF Pachuca
⚽
54'
E. Valencia
CF Pachuca
🟨
57'
Paulinho
Toluca
🟨
58'
Alexis Vega
Toluca
🟨
58'
Sergio Barreto
CF Pachuca
🔄
58'
W. Carvalho ↔ C. Sanchez
CF Pachuca
🔄
66'
N. Castro ↔ E. del Villar
Toluca
🔄
72'
G. Togni ↔ I. Luna
CF Pachuca
🔄
75'
A. Vega ↔ R. Morales
Toluca
🟥
76'
Alan Bautista
CF Pachuca
🔄
82'
F. Pereira ↔ H. Herrera
Toluca
🔄
83'
E. Valencia ↔ J. Cadiz
CF Pachuca
🟨
85'
Carlos Sánchez
CF Pachuca
🟨
90+7'
Carlos Moreno
CF Pachuca

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
CF Pachuca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.16
CF Pachuca1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca Toluca
WWDLW
39 GF / 16 GA
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
9
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
7
6.21
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toluca Toluca 14 matches
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 matches
Toluca Statistic CF Pachuca
10 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 5
39 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 17
2.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
9 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 7
9 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
6.21 Shots On Goal 4.43
17.07 Total Shots 14.79
4.93 Corners 5.07
54.4% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, CF Pachuca won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:31 from Toluca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 3, CF Pachuca wins 7
Stats
Toluca Toluca
CF Pachuca CF Pachuca
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 1
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Goal 6
11 Shots off Goal 8
5 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 5
11 Shots outsidebox 11
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
467 Total passes 336
414 Passes accurate 279
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Toluca
Formation
CF Pachuca
L. Garcia
L. Garcia
S. Simon
S. Simon
Bruno Mendez
Bruno Mendez
F. Pereira
↓
F. Pereira
J. Gallardo
⚽
J. Gallardo
F. Romero
F. Romero
M. Ruiz
M. Ruiz
J. Angulo
🎯
J. Angulo
A. Vega
🎯 ↓
A. Vega
N. Castro
↓
N. Castro
Paulinho
⚽
Paulinho
C. Moreno
C. Moreno
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
S. D. Barreto
S. D. Barreto
J. Berlanga
J. Berlanga
A. Aceves
A. Aceves
A. Bautista
A. Bautista
W. Carvalho
↓
W. Carvalho
L. Quinones
L. Quinones
V. Guzman
🎯
V. Guzman
G. Togni
↓
G. Togni
E. Valencia
⚽ 2 ↓
E. Valencia
Toluca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
L. Garcia
G
19
S. Simon
D
4
Bruno Mendez
D
6
F. Pereira
↓ 82'
D
20
J. Gallardo
⚽ 10' 🟨 28'
D
5
F. Romero
M
14
M. Ruiz
M
10
J. Angulo
🎯 10'
M
9
A. Vega
🎯 25' ↓ 75' 🟨 58'
M
8
N. Castro
↓ 66'
M
26
Paulinho
⚽ 25' 🟨 57'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Gonzalez
G
2
D. Barbosa
D
3
A. Briseno
D
17
M. Isais
D
25
E. del Villar
↑ 66'
D
35
A. Alvarez
D
16
H. Herrera
↑ 82'
M
24
F. Arce
M
23
O. Virgen
F
31
R. Morales
↑ 75'
F
CF Pachuca 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
C. Moreno
🟨 90+7'
G
12
B. A. Garcia Caprizo
D
2
S. D. Barreto
🟨 58'
D
13
J. Berlanga
D
3
A. Aceves
D
26
A. Bautista
🟨 48' 🟥 76'
M
41
W. Carvalho
↓ 58'
M
23
L. Quinones
M
8
V. Guzman
🎯 45'
M
32
G. Togni
↓ 72'
M
10
E. Valencia
⚽ 45' ⚽ 54' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
31
J. Eulogio
G
14
C. Sanchez
↑ 58' 🟨 85'
D
24
L. Rodriguez
D
184
C. Alfaro
D
185
A. Contreras
D
15
I. Luna
↑ 72'
M
190
J. Sigala
M
9
I. Hernandez
F
99
J. Cadiz
↑ 83'
F
197
P. Achinulo
F
Last matches: Toluca
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
Last matches: CF Pachuca
02.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
L
27.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
1
W
H2H: Toluca vs CF Pachuca
10.05.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
L
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
22.03.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
18.09.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
3
W
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
W
20.02.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
31.10.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
3
1
L
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
L
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
L
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
L
14.09.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
H2H at home: Toluca
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
W
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
L
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
L
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
L
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
Last matches: CF Pachuca
02.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
18.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
2
L
23.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
1
1
D
10.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atlas
3
0
W
H2H away: CF Pachuca
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
W
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
L
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
L
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
W
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
W
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
W
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
W

Standings

Liga MX, Clausura 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 34:17 17 36
L D W L D
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 33:17 16 36
L D W L D
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 31:18 13 33
W D W D W
4
CF Pachuca Away
17 9 4 4 25:19 6 31
L W W W L
5
Toluca Home
17 8 6 3 28:16 12 30
L L W L L
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 16:18 -2 26
L L W D W
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 28:18 10 25
L W W D D
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 20:17 3 25
D D L W W
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 19:17 2 23
D W D W W
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 22:32 -10 22
L L W W W
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 17:21 -4 20
W D D W D
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 26:32 -6 19
W L L L D
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 22:24 -2 18
L W L D L
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 24:27 -3 18
L W L D W
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 19:25 -6 18
L D D L W
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 22:37 -15 15
L W D L L
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 13:26 -13 13
L L L L D
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 20:38 -18 12
W L L L D
Playoffs