Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atlas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca2.04
Atlas1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
22 GF / 12 GA
Atlas
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
5
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
3
7.14
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
9 matches
Atlas
7 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 1 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 4 |
| 22 | Goals For | 7 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 7.14 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 18.71 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 2 |
| 58.7% | Ball Possession | 54% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Atlas won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Toluca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Atlas 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 6, Atlas wins 3
Last matches: Toluca
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
Last matches: Atlas
18.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
3
2
W
10.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Puebla
3
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Necaxa
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
0
0
D
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
30.03.26
Fri
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
2
L
05.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
21.02.26
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
08.02.26
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
H2H: Toluca vs Atlas
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
13.04.25
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
3
W
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
26.08.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
02.02.23
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
L
21.08.21
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
0
0
D
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
14.08.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
1
2
W
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
L
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
23.01.20
H2H
Atlas
Toluca
2
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
W
H2H at home: Toluca
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
W
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
L
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
L
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
W
Last matches: Atlas
18.07.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
3
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Club America
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Atlas
Leon
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Atlas
Toluca
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Atlas
FC Juarez
1
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Atlas
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Necaxa
1
0
W
14.01.26
Lig
Atlas
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Tijuana
0
2
L
26.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Guadalajara Chivas
1
4
L
18.10.25
Lig
Atlas
Atletico San Luis
0
2
L
25.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
20.09.25
Lig
Atlas
Mazatlán
1
1
D
31.08.25
Lig
Atlas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
17.08.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
3
3
D
27.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Monterrey
1
3
L
12.07.25
Lig
Atlas
Puebla
3
2
W
17.04.25
Lig
Atlas
Club Queretaro
2
1
W
H2H away: Atlas
15.03.26
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
07.04.24
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
4
1
L
10.07.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
4
W
27.02.21
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
15.03.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
2
3
W
29.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Atlas
3
2
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 |
Atlas
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Toluca
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)