Toluca vs Atlas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
44.2%
|
1.50 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
1.63 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
2.10 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Toluca
Atlas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
15 matches
Atlas
13 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Atlas |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 34 | Goals For | 14 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 17 |
| 2.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.54 | Shots On Goal | 3.86 |
| 18.62 | Total Shots | 11.14 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 4 |
| 60.3% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atlas. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Toluca approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 13 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 12:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Jesús Gallardo (1 goals), Ivan López (1 goals), Jorge Díaz (1 goals), with creative support from Helinho (2 assists), Jesús Gallardo (1 assists), Ivan López (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Atlas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 9:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Duk (1 goals), Arturo González (1 goals), Aldo Rocha (1 goals), with creative support from Gustavo Ferrareis (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Toluca
Home
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Atlas
Away
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 9 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3:21 | -18 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|