JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ajinomoto Stadium
Referee: Y. Sutani
Tokyo Verdy
Match Timeline
Kashiwa Reysol
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
R. Harakawa ↔ N. Nakagawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
58'
Y. Kakita ↔ M. Hosoya
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
62'
R. Inoue ↔ K. Miyahara
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
62'
Y. Matsuhashi ↔ R. Shirai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
62'
I. Kumatoriya ↔ K. Saito
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
66'
K. Yuruki ↔ Y. Segawa
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
66'
R. Shimano ↔ Y. Konishi
Kashiwa Reysol
🔄
72'
T. Kubo ↔ T. Okubo
Kashiwa Reysol
🟨
73'
Itsuki Someno
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
84'
R. Hirakawa ↔ Y. Arai
Tokyo Verdy
🔄
89'
K. Morita ↔ T. Inami
Tokyo Verdy
90'
Y. Arai · Assist: I. Someno
Tokyo Verdy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tokyo Verdy Win 72.3%
Draw 5.1%
Kashiwa Reysol Win 22.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tokyo Verdy1.36
Kashiwa Reysol1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
WLDWL
17 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
6
8
Over 2.5
7
3.17
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 matches
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 14 matches
Tokyo Verdy Statistic Kashiwa Reysol
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 1
7 Losses 9
19 Goals For 17
26 Goals Against 21
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
3.17 Shots On Goal 4.08
10.08 Total Shots 13.54
4.25 Corners 5.08
44.1% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tokyo Verdy's more proactive style and Kashiwa Reysol's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kashiwa Reysol. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tokyo Verdy come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Tokyo Verdy arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 21 points compared to Kashiwa Reysol in 9 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Tokyo Verdy Analysis

Tokyo Verdy come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 21 points after 12 matches. The return of 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 19:16, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through I. Someno (4 goals), T. Yoshida (4 goals), Y. Fukuda (2 goals), with creative support from K. Morita (3 assists), I. Someno (1 assists), H. Yamami (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kashiwa Reysol Analysis

Kashiwa Reysol approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 11 points from 13 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 16:20, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Segawa (4 goals), Nobuteru Nakagawa (2 goals), H. Nakama (1 goals), with creative support from H. Mitsumaru (2 assists), Y. Segawa (1 assists), Y. Koizumi (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tokyo Verdy won 4 times, Kashiwa Reysol won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Tokyo Verdy's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1 / Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Tokyo Verdy wins 4, draws 2, Kashiwa Reysol wins 4
Stats
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 10
9 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 3
26% Ball Possession 74%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
6 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
272 Total passes 787
191 Passes accurate 692
0.77 expected_goals 0.56
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tokyo Verdy
Formation
Kashiwa Reysol
Y. Nagasawa
Y. Nagasawa
Y. Uchida
Y. Uchida
K. Suzuki
K. Suzuki
N. Hayashi
N. Hayashi
R. Inoue
R. Inoue
D. Fukazawa
D. Fukazawa
Y. Matsuhashi
Y. Matsuhashi
R. Hirakawa
R. Hirakawa
K. Morita
K. Morita
I. Kumatoriya
I. Kumatoriya
I. Someno
🎯
I. Someno
R. Kojima
R. Kojima
S. Baba
S. Baba
T. Koga
T. Koga
H. Mitsumaru
H. Mitsumaru
Y. Yamanouchi
Y. Yamanouchi
R. Shimano
R. Shimano
R. Harakawa
R. Harakawa
T. Kubo
T. Kubo
Y. Koizumi
Y. Koizumi
K. Yuruki
K. Yuruki
Y. Kakita
Y. Kakita
Tokyo Verdy 5-4-1
Starting XI
21
Y. Nagasawa
G
22
Y. Uchida
D
15
K. Suzuki
D
4
N. Hayashi
D
5
R. Inoue
↓ 62'
D
23
D. Fukazawa
D
7
Y. Matsuhashi
↓ 62'
M
16
R. Hirakawa
↓ 84'
M
10
K. Morita
↓ 89'
M
25
I. Kumatoriya
↓ 62'
M
9
I. Someno
🎯 90' 🟨 73'
F
Substitutes
31
H. Mawatari
G
6
K. Miyahara
↑ 62'
D
17
T. Inami
↑ 89'
M
27
R. Shirai
↑ 62'
F
8
K. Saito
↑ 62'
M
35
S. Tanabe
D
45
S. Teranuma
F
24
S. Nakayama
M
40
Y. Arai
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
M
Kashiwa Reysol 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
R. Kojima
G
88
S. Baba
D
4
T. Koga
D
2
H. Mitsumaru
D
32
Y. Yamanouchi
M
38
R. Shimano
↓ 66'
M
40
R. Harakawa
↓ 46'
M
24
T. Kubo
↓ 72'
M
8
Y. Koizumi
F
16
K. Yuruki
↓ 66'
F
18
Y. Kakita
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
29
K. Nagai
G
20
Y. Segawa
↑ 66'
M
21
Y. Konishi
↑ 66'
M
9
M. Hosoya
↑ 58'
F
14
T. Okubo
↑ 72'
M
87
H. Yamauchi
M
26
D. Sugioka
D
42
W. Harada
D
39
N. Nakagawa
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
30.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
16.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
13.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
0
0
D
10.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
1
2
L
06.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
1
D
04.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
2
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
0
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
15.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
1
W
08.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
0
2
L
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
06.06.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
30.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
6
2
W
23.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
4
2
W
16.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
10.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
1
L
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
14.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
31.01.26
Fri
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
H2H: Tokyo Verdy vs Kashiwa Reysol
03.05.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
15.02.26
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
W
15.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
08.06.25
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
2
1
L
04.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
29.03.25
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
0
0
D
31.08.24
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
2
3
W
07.04.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
28.09.19
H2H
Kashiwa Reysol
Tokyo Verdy
3
0
L
30.03.19
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
Last matches: Tokyo Verdy
06.06.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Gamba Osaka
2
4
L
24.05.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
6
L
29.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
JEF United Chiba
1
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
FC Tokyo
0
0
D
18.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Kawasaki Frontale
0
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Urawa
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Machida Zelvia
2
2
D
08.02.26
J1
Tokyo Verdy
Mito Hollyhock
3
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Roasso Kumamoto
0
2
L
20.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Avispa Fukuoka
3
4
L
16.01.26
Fri
Tokyo Verdy
Oita Trinita
0
4
L
H2H at home: Tokyo Verdy
03.05.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
15.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
04.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
07.04.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
Last matches: Kashiwa Reysol
30.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kyoto Sanga
6
2
W
16.05.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
19.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Mito Hollyhock
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Machida Zelvia
0
1
L
18.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Urawa
1
1
D
07.03.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
JEF United Chiba
1
2
L
28.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
FC Tokyo
2
0
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashima
0
2
L
08.02.26
J1
Kashiwa Reysol
Kawasaki Frontale
3
5
L
H2H away: Kashiwa Reysol
03.05.26
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
L
15.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
W
04.06.25
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
W
07.04.24
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
1
1
D
30.03.19
H2H
Tokyo Verdy
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
L

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)