BRAZIL SERIE D
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Tocantinópolis
Match Timeline
Trem
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
Wanderson Gotinha
Trem

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Tocantinópolis Win 44.2%
Draw 16.2%
Trem Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tocantinópolis2
Trem2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Trem Trem
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2
2
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
1
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 1 matches
Trem Trem 2 matches
Tocantinópolis Statistic Trem
0 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 4
2 Goals Against 4
2 Avg Goals Scored 2
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
1 BTTS Yes 2
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trem having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trem. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Placed 5 with 1 points from 1 outings, Tocantinópolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 2:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trem Analysis

Trem arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 2 points after 2 matches. The record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 4:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Aleilson (1 goals), J. Moreira (1 goals), M. dos Santos Ribeiro (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tocantinópolis won 0 times, Trem won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Tocantinópolis's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
H2H summary: Tocantinópolis wins 0, draws 0, Trem wins 2
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
Last matches: Trem
13.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
H2H: Tocantinópolis vs Trem
23.05.26
H2H
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
L
19.04.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tocantinópolis
19.04.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
Last matches: Trem
13.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
1
D
27.04.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
4
L
H2H away: Trem
19.04.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
W

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Trem Away
10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)