BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tocantinópolis Win 77.3%
Draw 14.6%
Oratório Win 8.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tocantinópolis1.71
Oratório1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
Oratório Oratório
WLDWL
11 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.44
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 9 matches
Oratório Oratório 9 matches
Tocantinópolis Statistic Oratório
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
11 Goals For 11
17 Goals Against 22
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Oratório. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oratório arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oratório having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Tocantinópolis come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 9 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 11:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Hitalo (3 goals), R. Vieira (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oratório Analysis

With 4 points from 8 games and a place of 6, Oratório still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 11:21, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Alagoano (2 goals), Dayveson (2 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Tocantinópolis won 0 times, Oratório won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from Tocantinópolis's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.9%)
H2H summary: Tocantinópolis wins 0, draws 0, Oratório wins 1
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
Last matches: Oratório
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H: Tocantinópolis vs Oratório
22.04.26
H2H
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
L
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
2
2
D
Last matches: Oratório
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D