BRAZIL SERIE D
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Tocantinópolis
Match Timeline
Oratório
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
R. Vieira
Tocantinópolis
41'
Allan
Tocantinópolis
43'
Daelson
Tocantinópolis
🟥
45+1'
Oratório
Oratório
51'
M. Lucas
Tocantinópolis
66'
Samuel Costa
Tocantinópolis
74'
J. Hitalo
Tocantinópolis
90'
Samuel Costa
Tocantinópolis
90'
J. Jari
Oratório

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.9%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tocantinópolis Win 74.9%
Draw 14.1%
Oratório Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tocantinópolis1.71
Oratório1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
Oratório Oratório
WLDWL
11 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2.44
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 9 matches
Oratório Oratório 9 matches
Tocantinópolis Statistic Oratório
2 Wins 1
3 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
11 Goals For 11
17 Goals Against 22
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44
6 BTTS Yes 5
8 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oratório. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Oratório arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oratório having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tocantinópolis arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 9 points compared to Oratório in 6 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Placed 5 with 9 points from 9 outings, Tocantinópolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hitalo (3 goals), R. Vieira (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oratório Analysis

Oratório approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 4 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 11:22 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Daniel Alagoano (2 goals), Dayveson (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Tocantinópolis won 1 times, Oratório won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Tocantinópolis's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89%)
H2H summary: Tocantinópolis wins 1, draws 0, Oratório wins 1
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
Last matches: Oratório
31.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
0
2
L
22.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H: Tocantinópolis vs Oratório
06.06.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
22.04.26
H2H
Oratório
Tocantinópolis
3
0
L
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
16.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
Last matches: Oratório
17.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Trem
2
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Oratório
Águia de Marabá
1
5
L
19.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Oratório
Imperatriz
1
3
L
H2H away: Oratório
06.06.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)