BRAZIL SERIE D
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Tocantinópolis
Match Timeline
Imperatriz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Luquinhas
Tocantinópolis
90'
R. Vieira
Tocantinópolis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 73.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
73.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tocantinópolis Win 33.5%
Draw 26.3%
Imperatriz Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tocantinópolis1.03
Imperatriz1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WLDWL
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
4
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tocantinópolis Tocantinópolis 6 matches
Imperatriz Imperatriz 6 matches
Tocantinópolis Statistic Imperatriz
1 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
7 Goals For 10
10 Goals Against 5
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Imperatriz's more proactive style and Tocantinópolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Imperatriz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Imperatriz having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Tocantinópolis Analysis

Tocantinópolis arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 6 points after 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:10 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Hitalo (2 goals), Daelson (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Imperatriz Analysis

Imperatriz come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ivan (2 goals), Wyldson (2 goals), Anderson Brito (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Tocantinópolis won 1 times, Imperatriz won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Tocantinópolis's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.7%)
H2H summary: Tocantinópolis wins 1, draws 2, Imperatriz wins 3
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
3
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
1
D
22.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
0
3
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
26.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
12.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
2
L
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
28.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
4
L
13.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
1
L
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
10.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
3
2
W
Last matches: Imperatriz
12.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
1
1
D
27.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
H2H: Tocantinópolis vs Imperatriz
16.05.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
25.04.26
H2H
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
28.06.25
H2H
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
L
21.05.25
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
24.07.21
H2H
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
3
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
0
D
Last matches: Tocantinópolis
06.06.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Oratório
7
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Tuna Luso
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Trem
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Águia de Marabá
2
2
D
19.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Altos
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maranhão
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Parnahyba
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Iguatu
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
03.05.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
19.04.25
Ser
Tocantinópolis
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tocantinópolis
16.05.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
W
21.05.25
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
0
D
Last matches: Imperatriz
12.07.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Ferroviario
0
3
L
27.06.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
08.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
3
2
W
24.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
1
1
D
21.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
0
3
L
20.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
0
0
D
H2H away: Imperatriz
16.05.26
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
2
0
L
21.05.25
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
1
2
W
17.07.21
H2H
Tocantinópolis
Imperatriz
0
0
D

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)