BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Tirol/CEFAT
Match Timeline
Ferroviario
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
85'
Carlinhos
Ferroviario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tirol/CEFAT Win 33%
Draw 19.3%
Ferroviario Win 47.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tirol/CEFAT1.03
Ferroviario1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tirol/CEFAT Tirol/CEFAT
WWDLW
9 GF / 8 GA
Ferroviario Ferroviario
WLDWL
14 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tirol/CEFAT Tirol/CEFAT 8 matches
Ferroviario Ferroviario 8 matches
Tirol/CEFAT Statistic Ferroviario
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
9 Goals For 14
8 Goals Against 7
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ferroviario look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ferroviario carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Tirol/CEFAT sit 4 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferroviario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Ferroviario.

Tirol/CEFAT Analysis

Tirol/CEFAT arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 9 points after 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Jeffinho (3 goals), Vinicius Alves (3 goals), Felipe Hulk (2 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ferroviario Analysis

Ferroviario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 17 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 14:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on Ciel (5 goals), Luisinho (3 goals), Lucas Black (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tirol/CEFAT won 1 times, Ferroviario won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Tirol/CEFAT's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
H2H summary: Tirol/CEFAT wins 1, draws 1, Ferroviario wins 3
Last matches: Tirol/CEFAT
13.06.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Piauí
1
2
L
26.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
3
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Altos
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Altos
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Fluminense PI
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
2
3
L
04.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Piauí
1
2
L
Last matches: Ferroviario
26.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
3
L
12.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
3
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
28.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
2
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
3
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
02.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
1
L
27.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
0
0
D
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
H2H: Tirol/CEFAT vs Ferroviario
01.06.26
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
0
D
11.04.26
H2H
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
3
2
L
27.11.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
3
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
3
L
15.02.25
H2H
Ferroviario
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
L
Last matches: Tirol/CEFAT
16.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Altos
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Tirol/CEFAT
Piauí
1
2
L
H2H at home: Tirol/CEFAT
01.06.26
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
0
D
27.11.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
3
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
3
L
Last matches: Ferroviario
18.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Goiatuba EC
0
3
L
04.07.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Imperatriz
1
1
D
21.06.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Piauí
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Altos
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Ferroviario
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Ferroviario
ASA
0
2
L
19.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz RN
2
1
W
13.07.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Horizonte
0
2
L
16.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
America-RN
2
3
L
01.06.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Treze
0
1
L
11.05.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Sousa
0
4
L
20.04.25
Ser
Ferroviario
Central SC
1
2
L
H2H away: Ferroviario
01.06.26
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
0
D
27.11.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
3
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Tirol/CEFAT
Ferroviario
0
3
W

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)