MACEDONIA › FIRST LEAGUE
16.05.2026 14:00
Tikveš
Match Timeline
Pelister
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
12'
S. Dimovski ↔ H. Stevkovski
Tikveš
🟨
21'
M. Ristovski
Pelister
⚽
29'
K. Ackovski
Tikveš
🟨
32'
B. Ramadani
Tikveš
🟨
37'
A. Ristevski
Pelister
⚽
38'
N. Sylla
Tikveš
🔄
46'
B. Ramadani ↔ A. Varelovski
Tikveš
🔄
46'
M. Ristovski ↔ V. Kerim
Pelister
🔄
46'
A. Ristevski ↔ P. Petkovski
Pelister
🔄
61'
Lucianinho ↔ D. Milovanovikj
Tikveš
🔄
61'
N. Najdovski ↔ B. Stojchev
Tikveš
🔄
62'
G. Krstevski ↔ L. Milojevic
Pelister
🔄
62'
L. Bulatovic ↔ J. Mrmachovski
Pelister
🟨
67'
E. O. Wisdom
Tikveš
🔄
73'
K. Ackovski ↔ K. Stojkoski
Tikveš
⚽
73'
M. Ivanovski
Pelister
⚽
77'
M. Ivanovski
Pelister
VAR
78'
M. Srbijanac
Pelister
VAR
80'
M. Ivanovski
Pelister
🟨
90+3'
N. Sylla
Tikveš

Tikveš vs Pelister Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 69.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
69.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tikveš Win 52.3%
Draw 11.5%
Pelister Win 36.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tikveš1.56
Pelister1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tikveš Tikveš
WWDLW
54 GF / 44 GA
Pelister Pelister
WLDWL
38 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.23
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
13
19
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tikveš Tikveš 31 matches
Pelister Pelister 31 matches
Tikveš Statistic Pelister
13 Wins 9
5 Draws 9
13 Losses 13
54 Goals For 38
44 Goals Against 40
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 13
21 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
12 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 3.33
0 Corners 0.67
0% Ball Possession 13%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Tikveš's more proactive style and Pelister's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pelister. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pelister having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tikveš Analysis

Tikveš come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 44 points from 31 matches. The record of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 54:44 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Stojanov (8 goals), B. Sadik (7 goals), I. Ivanovski (6 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Pelister Analysis

Pelister are currently 9 in the standings with 36 points from 31 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:40 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Bulatovic (10 goals), P. Petkovski (5 goals), Mirko Ivanovski (4 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Tikveš won 4 times, Pelister won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:10 from Tikveš's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
H2H summary: Tikveš wins 4, draws 5, Pelister wins 3

Standings

1. MFL
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 26 5 2 80:21 59 83
W W W W W
2 33 23 5 5 67:30 37 74
L W W D L
3 33 19 5 9 68:28 40 62
L L L L W
4 33 16 5 12 59:36 23 53
L L L D L
5 33 14 6 13 59:47 12 48
W D W D L
6 33 13 7 13 50:53 -3 46
W W D D W
7 33 11 9 13 40:54 -14 42
L D D L W
8 33 10 10 13 41:42 -1 40
D W D W D
9 33 10 10 13 46:56 -10 40
L W L D W
10 33 9 7 17 42:57 -15 34
W D L W W
11 33 9 6 18 45:58 -13 33
L W D D L
12 33 0 1 32 15:130 -115 1
L L L L L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation