Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigres UANL1.41
Toluca1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigres UANL
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
24 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
2.4
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
7
5.4
Shots on Goal
7.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tigres UANL
11 matches
Toluca
10 matches
| Tigres UANL | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 3 |
| 17 | Goals For | 24 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.4 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.4 | Shots On Goal | 7.5 |
| 14.4 | Total Shots | 18.25 |
| 5.6 | Corners | 3.88 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 58.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tigres UANL won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:24 from Tigres UANL's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tigres UANL wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6
Last matches: Tigres UANL
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
13.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
0
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
1
0
W
05.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Puebla
1
3
L
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
H2H: Tigres UANL vs Toluca
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
L
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
L
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
W
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
L
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
L
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Monterrey
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
11.02.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Forge
4
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Santos Laguna
5
1
W
18.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
12.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
30.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
5
0
W
08.11.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
3
1
W
25.10.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
2
0
W
18.10.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
5
3
W
05.10.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tigres UANL
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
W
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
W
Last matches: Toluca
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
22.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Puebla
0
0
D
18.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
12.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
04.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
0
1
L
27.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
2
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
0
0
D
H2H away: Toluca
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
L
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
L
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 3 |
Toluca
Away
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 16 |
Tigres UANL
Home
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)