Tigres UANL
Match Timeline
Toluca
Tigres UANL vs Toluca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toluca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigres UANL1.5
Toluca1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigres UANL
WWDLW
46 GF / 25 GA
Toluca
WLDWL
54 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
2.16
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
15
5.72
Shots on Goal
5.8
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tigres UANL
25 matches
Toluca
25 matches
| Tigres UANL | Statistic | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 16 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 46 | Goals For | 54 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.84 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.16 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.72 | Shots On Goal | 5.8 |
| 16.2 | Total Shots | 17.36 |
| 5.92 | Corners | 5.36 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tigres UANL won 5 times, Toluca won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:24 from Tigres UANL's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1 / Toluca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tigres UANL wins 5, draws 4, Toluca wins 6
Standings
Liga MX, Clausura 2026
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Toluca
Away
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 |
Tigres UANL
Home
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
Playoffs