COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
26.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Tigres FC vs Real Santander Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.9%
-
BTTS Yes
53.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tigres FC Win 76.9%
Draw 11.1%
Real Santander Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigres FC1.2
Real Santander0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigres FC Tigres FC
WWDLW
27 GF / 25 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
WLDWL
20 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
0.87
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
10
BTTS Yes
13
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tigres FC Tigres FC 29 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 23 matches
Tigres FC Statistic Real Santander
10 Wins 3
8 Draws 8
11 Losses 12
27 Goals For 20
25 Goals Against 37
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
10 BTTS Yes 13
15 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 2
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Tigres FC's more proactive style and Real Santander's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Santander. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Tigres FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 38 points compared to Real Santander in 16 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control.

Tigres FC Analysis

Tigres FC sit 6 with 38 points after 29 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 27:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 17 points from 23 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 20:37, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Tigres FC won 6 times, Real Santander won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:9 from Tigres FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
H2H summary: Tigres FC wins 6, draws 5, Real Santander wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 15 8 8 50:35 15 53
L W L W W
2 29 15 8 6 38:27 11 53
W L L L W
3 29 14 9 6 30:18 12 51
L D D W W
4 30 14 8 8 40:28 12 50
D D L L L
5 29 14 6 9 40:28 12 48
W L L W L
6 29 10 8 11 27:25 2 38
D W L W W
7 23 9 9 5 23:16 7 36
W D W W L
8 24 9 7 8 29:29 0 34
L W W W L
9 29 9 7 13 35:39 -4 34
L L W W L
10 29 8 10 11 23:30 -7 34
D L L W L
11 23 6 9 8 27:27 0 27
W W W L D
12 22 6 7 9 17:23 -6 25
L L L W D
13 23 5 9 9 25:30 -5 24
W W D L L
14 23 5 8 10 24:32 -8 23
W W W W L
15 24 4 7 13 15:39 -24 19
L D L L L
16 23 3 8 12 20:37 -17 17
L D W W D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)