08.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Referee: Carlos Andres Gariano, Argentina
Tigre
Match Timeline
River Plate
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
P. Martinez ↔ T. Serrago
Tigre
🟨
41'
Jalil Elias
Tigre
🟨
45+4'
Aníbal Moreno
River Plate
🟨
62'
Nahuel Banegas
Tigre
🔄
71'
N. Banegas ↔ F. Alvarez
Tigre
🔄
71'
J. Elias ↔ S. Gonzalez
Tigre
🟨
74'
Tobías Andrada
River Plate
🔄
77'
J. Freitas ↔ R. Borre
River Plate
78'
I. Russo · Assist: J. Saralegui
Tigre
🟨
81'
Lucas Martínez Quarta
River Plate
🔄
85'
S. Lopez ↔ J. Villalba
Tigre
🔄
85'
J. Saralegui ↔ N. Dubersarsky
Tigre
🔄
85'
T. Galvan ↔ L. Pereyra
River Plate

Tigre vs River Plate Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tigre Win 23.6%
Draw 5%
River Plate Win 71.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigre1.02
River Plate1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigre Tigre
WWDLW
23 GF / 18 GA
River Plate River Plate
WLDWL
33 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
10
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
4.26
Shots on Goal
5.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tigre Tigre 21 matches
River Plate River Plate 27 matches
Tigre Statistic River Plate
6 Wins 13
9 Draws 4
6 Losses 10
23 Goals For 33
18 Goals Against 24
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.86 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 8
4.26 Shots On Goal 5.43
13.68 Total Shots 16.65
3.95 Corners 5.91
44.4% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. River Plate carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 29 points while Tigre sit 10 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors River Plate. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. River Plate arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Tigre Analysis

Tigre are currently 10 in the standings with 20 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Gonzalo Martínez (1 goals), David Romero (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Russo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

River Plate Analysis

River Plate approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 29 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:12 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Facundo Colidio (4 goals), Sebastián Driussi (2 goals), Juan Fernando Quintero (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Colidio (2 assists), Juan Fernando Quintero (2 assists), Joaquín Freitas (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tigre won 4 times, River Plate won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Tigre's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Tigre 4-2-3-1 / River Plate 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tigre wins 4, draws 3, River Plate wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D D L
10
Tigre Home
16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L D W
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L W D D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
W L W L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase