01.09.2026 00:15
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna
Referee: F. Tello
Tigre
Match Timeline
Barracas Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
F. Bruera ↔ J. Candia
Barracas Central
🟨
47'
Dardo Miloc
Barracas Central
🟨
48'
Nicolás Demartini
Barracas Central
🔄
65'
M. Garay ↔ B. Leyes
Tigre
🔄
65'
D. Martinez ↔ R. Barrios
Barracas Central
🔄
69'
S. Lopez ↔ T. Serrago
Tigre
🔄
69'
J. Saralegui ↔ I. Subiabre
Tigre
🔄
78'
M. Mendez ↔ A. Oviedo
Tigre
🔄
78'
N. Briasco ↔ G. Maroni
Barracas Central
🔄
78'
E. Pereyra ↔ R. Insua
Barracas Central
VAR
81'
Jhonatan Candia
Barracas Central
🟨
90+4'
Ian Subiabre
Tigre
🟨
90+4'
Gonzalo Maroni
Barracas Central

Tigre vs Barracas Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.91
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
65.8%
1.91
BTTS No
50.8%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.5%
2.14
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
9.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Tigre Win 34.2%
Draw 22.6%
Barracas Central Win 43.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigre1.05
Barracas Central0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigre Tigre
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
23 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
0.92
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
9
3.95
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tigre Tigre 24 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 25 matches
Tigre Statistic Barracas Central
8 Wins 9
10 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
26 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 25
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 8
3.95 Shots On Goal 3.59
13.27 Total Shots 10.45
4.09 Corners 2.23
44% Ball Possession 40.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Tigre's more proactive style and Barracas Central's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Barracas Central arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barracas Central. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tigre expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Barracas Central in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barracas Central having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tigre Analysis

So far, Tigre have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 20 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ignacio Russo (1 goals), Santiago López (1 goals), Gonzalo Martínez (1 goals), with creative support from Ignacio Russo (1 assists), Valentín Moreno (1 assists), Jabes Saralegui (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Barracas Central Analysis

With 21 points from 16 games and a place of 9, Barracas Central still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:15 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Tomás Porra (1 goals), Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Iván Tapia (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Porra (2 assists), Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Iván Tapia (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Tigre won 2 times, Barracas Central won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Tigre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.56 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Tigre 4-4-2 / Barracas Central 5-3-2
H2H summary: Tigre wins 2, draws 4, Barracas Central wins 3

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10
Tigre Home
16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase