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Tigre vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tigre Win 41.4%
Draw 19.6%
Atletico Tucuman Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tigre1.06
Atletico Tucuman1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tigre Tigre
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
WLDWL
37 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.12
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
16
BTTS Yes
17
11
Over 2.5
16
4.07
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tigre Tigre 31 matches
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 33 matches
Tigre Statistic Atletico Tucuman
8 Wins 9
12 Draws 11
11 Losses 13
33 Goals For 37
31 Goals Against 35
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.12
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
16 BTTS Yes 17
19 Over 1.5 22
11 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 9
4.07 Shots On Goal 3.48
13.31 Total Shots 11.72
4.28 Corners 5.07
46.1% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Tigre's more proactive style and Atletico Tucuman's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Tucuman. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tigre expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Atletico Tucuman in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Tucuman having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tigre Analysis

Tigre approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 20 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 18:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on I. Russo (2 goals), J. Dómina (2 goals), S. López (1 goals), with creative support from J. Saralegui (2 assists), I. Russo (1 assists), S. López (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atletico Tucuman Analysis

Atletico Tucuman approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 14 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats with a 15:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on L. Godoy (2 goals), C. Ferreira (2 goals), L. Díaz (2 goals), with creative support from L. Godoy (2 assists), R. Ruíz Rodríguez (2 assists), C. Ferreira (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tigre won 1 times, Atletico Tucuman won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Tigre's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 0.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Predicted formations: Tigre 4-4-2 / Atletico Tucuman 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Tigre wins 1, draws 5, Atletico Tucuman wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L D W W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W D W L W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W D W L D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D W W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L W W W D
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
W D D D D
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L L W W W
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
D L W W L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W W L D D
10
Tigre Home
16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D L L L L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L D W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W D D D
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L D L L L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L L L W L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
W L L L L
Knockout Phase