ICELAND 2. DEILD
23.08.2026 14:00
Vogaidyfuvollur
Thróttur Vogar
Match Timeline
Selfoss
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
V. Kjartansson
Selfoss
28'
A. Thorisson
Thróttur Vogar
54'
E. Heidarsson
Selfoss
81'
V. Kjartansson
Selfoss

Thróttur Vogar vs Selfoss Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.5%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Thróttur Vogar Win 48.5%
Draw 3.5%
Selfoss Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thróttur Vogar1.7
Selfoss2.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar
WWDLW
29 GF / 35 GA
Selfoss Selfoss
WLDWL
42 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
2.33
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
13
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar 18 matches
Selfoss Selfoss 18 matches
Thróttur Vogar Statistic Selfoss
6 Wins 9
1 Draws 6
11 Losses 3
29 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 33
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 2.33
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Selfoss's more proactive style and Thróttur Vogar's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Selfoss carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 32 points while Thróttur Vogar sit 10 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Selfoss. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Selfoss look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Selfoss having the stronger overall control.

Thróttur Vogar Analysis

Thróttur Vogar approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 19 points from 17 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:33, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Selfoss Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 32 points from 17 games, Selfoss bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:31, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Thróttur Vogar won 3 times, Selfoss won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:28 from Thróttur Vogar's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Thróttur Vogar wins 3, draws 2, Selfoss wins 6

Standings

2. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 2 5 55:32 23 47
L L W W W
2 22 13 6 3 55:36 19 45
W W W W D
3 22 11 9 2 56:29 27 42
W W W W D
4 22 9 4 9 37:37 0 31
W W W L D
5 22 9 4 9 33:41 -8 31
W L L L W
6 22 8 6 8 49:46 3 30
W D D L L
7 22 9 2 11 51:45 6 29
L L W W W
8 22 7 6 9 42:38 4 27
L W L L L
9 22 7 4 11 35:54 -19 25
L L L W D
10 22 7 2 13 33:42 -9 23
W D L L L
11 22 7 1 14 38:58 -20 22
L W L W W
12 22 3 8 11 28:54 -26 17
L L D L L
Promotion
Relegation