ICELAND 2. DEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Thróttur Vogar
Match Timeline
KFG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Thorisson
Thróttur Vogar
22'
E. Erlingsson
Thróttur Vogar
40'
D. Biberdzic
KFG
73'
A. Thorisson
Thróttur Vogar
88'
F. Heimisson
Thróttur Vogar
90+4'
H. Palsson
Thróttur Vogar

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.54
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.37
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.9%
1.54
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.37
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.02
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Thróttur Vogar Win 57.9%
Draw 15.9%
KFG Win 26.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thróttur Vogar1.98
KFG1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
KFG KFG
WLDWL
16 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.45
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
2.91
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thróttur Vogar Thróttur Vogar 11 matches
KFG KFG 11 matches
Thróttur Vogar Statistic KFG
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 0
7 Losses 7
15 Goals For 16
23 Goals Against 32
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 2.91
8 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KFG having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KFG. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Thróttur Vogar Analysis

With 10 points from 11 games and a place of 12, Thróttur Vogar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:23 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KFG Analysis

KFG sit 10 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 16:32 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Thróttur Vogar won 5 times, KFG won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Thróttur Vogar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: Thróttur Vogar wins 5, draws 2, KFG wins 3
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
04.07.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Magni
3
4
L
26.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjolnir
3
2
W
19.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
4
L
15.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Selfoss
1
3
L
10.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
06.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Dalvík / Reynir
0
1
L
31.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
23.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Hvíti riddarinn
0
2
L
14.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
0
W
09.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
3
L
01.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
2
1
W
Last matches: KFG
03.07.26
2.
KFG
Selfoss
2
3
L
27.06.26
2.
KFG
Vikingur Olafsiik
0
1
L
20.06.26
2.
KFG
Dalvík / Reynir
0
6
L
14.06.26
2.
KFG
Kormákur / Hvöt
3
2
W
10.06.26
2.
KFG
Hvíti riddarinn
1
0
W
06.06.26
2.
KFG
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1
5
L
01.06.26
2.
KFG
Fjolnir
4
3
W
21.05.26
2.
KFG
Haukar
0
4
L
16.05.26
2.
KFG
Magni
1
2
L
09.05.26
2.
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
W
02.05.26
2.
KFG
Kári
1
5
L
H2H: Thróttur Vogar vs KFG
12.07.26
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
1
W
09.05.26
H2H
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
3
1
L
30.07.25
H2H
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
4
3
L
23.05.25
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
2
1
W
31.07.24
H2H
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
3
3
D
23.05.24
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
2
4
W
06.07.23
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
1
D
31.07.19
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
0
W
17.05.19
H2H
KFG
Thróttur Vogar
3
0
L
Last matches: Thróttur Vogar
26.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjolnir
3
2
W
19.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kári
1
4
L
10.06.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Vikingur Olafsiik
1
2
L
31.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Kormákur / Hvöt
1
1
D
14.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
2
0
W
01.05.26
2.
Thróttur Vogar
Haukar
2
1
W
H2H at home: Thróttur Vogar
12.07.26
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
2
1
W
23.05.24
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
0
W
06.07.23
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
1
D
31.07.19
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
0
W
Last matches: KFG
27.06.26
2.
KFG
Vikingur Olafsiik
0
1
L
14.06.26
2.
KFG
Kormákur / Hvöt
3
2
W
06.06.26
2.
KFG
Fjardabyggd / Leiknir
1
5
L
16.05.26
2.
KFG
Magni
1
2
L
02.05.26
2.
KFG
Kári
1
5
L
H2H away: KFG
12.07.26
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
1
L
23.05.25
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
2
1
L
23.05.24
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
0
L
06.07.23
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
1
1
D
31.07.19
H2H
Thróttur Vogar
KFG
5
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.15
Draw 4.64
Home 1.54
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 3.0 1.39
Over 3.25 1.56
Over 3.5 1.75
Over 3.75 1.93
Over 4.0 2.19
Over 4.25 2.42
Over 4.5 2.66
Under 3.0 2.74
Under 3.25 2.26
Under 3.5 2.00
Under 3.75 1.82
Under 4.0 1.62
Under 4.25 1.50
Under 4.5 1.41
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 4.50
Home 1.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.75
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 1.33
Under 2.5 3.25
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.38
Draw 4.55
Home 1.53
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 2.61
Home 1.98
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.28
Draw 3.24
Home 1.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.0 1.06
Over 2.5 1.26
Over 2.75 1.31
Over 3.0 1.38
Over 3.25 1.57
Over 3.5 1.74
Over 3.75 1.90
Over 4.0 2.14
Over 4.25 2.38
Over 4.5 2.59
Over 4.75 3.05
Over 5.0 3.84
Over 5.5 4.30
Under 0.5 25.00
Under 1.0 11.50
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.0 6.30
Under 2.5 3.20
Under 2.75 2.92
Under 3.0 2.62
Under 3.25 2.23
Under 3.5 1.96
Under 3.75 1.79
Under 4.0 1.57
Under 4.25 1.46
Under 4.5 1.39
Under 4.75 1.29
Under 5.0 1.18
Under 5.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 4.10
Home 1.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.75
Home 2.06
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 3.10
Home 1.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.07
Over 2.5 1.29
Over 3.5 1.75
Over 4.5 2.65
Over 5.5 4.35
Under 1.5 6.10
Under 2.5 3.10
Under 3.5 1.90
Under 4.5 1.38
Under 5.5 1.15

Standings

2. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 2 2 33:16 17 26
W W D W L
2 12 6 2 4 22:19 3 20
L D W W W
3 12 5 5 2 26:24 2 20
D W D L W
4 12 4 6 2 31:22 9 18
D L D W D
5 12 5 3 4 30:23 7 18
W D L D D
6 12 4 5 3 26:14 12 17
D D W D L
7 12 4 3 5 16:23 -7 15
D L W L W
8 12 4 2 6 29:24 5 14
D W L D L
9 12 4 1 7 20:24 -4 13
W L W L L
10 12 2 7 3 17:21 -4 13
D D L D W
11
KFG Away
12 4 0 8 17:37 -20 12
L L L L W
12 12 3 2 7 18:38 -20 11
L W D W L
Promotion
Relegation