ICELAND 1. DEILD
19.09.2026 16:00

Throttur Reykjavik vs Fylkir Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Throttur Reykjavik Win 77.9%
Draw 9.2%
Fylkir Win 12.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Throttur Reykjavik1.99
Fylkir1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik
WWDLW
53 GF / 26 GA
Fylkir Fylkir
WLDWL
54 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
15
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 24 matches
Fylkir Fylkir 24 matches
Throttur Reykjavik Statistic Fylkir
15 Wins 14
4 Draws 2
5 Losses 8
53 Goals For 54
26 Goals Against 40
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
15 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 22
13 Over 2.5 18
9 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Throttur Reykjavik hold an advantage after winning the first leg 3-1, so Fylkir now have a 2-goal deficit to overturn. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fylkir having the stronger overall control. Throttur Reykjavik come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fylkir.

Throttur Reykjavik Analysis

Throttur Reykjavik come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 43 points from 22 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with goals at 50:25 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Fylkir Analysis

Fylkir enter this tie with a season profile built on 40 points from 22 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 13 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses plus a goal ratio of 49:36, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 14 3 5 65:33 32 45
L W W W D
2 22 13 4 5 50:25 25 43
W W W W L
3 22 13 1 8 49:36 13 40
D W L W W
4 22 12 2 8 52:40 12 38
D L W L W
5 22 12 2 8 38:29 9 38
L L W L W
6 22 8 4 10 34:33 1 28
L W L W L
7 22 8 4 10 40:46 -6 28
W L W W L
8 22 8 3 11 36:43 -7 27
L L L L D
9 22 8 3 11 30:43 -13 27
L L W L W
10 22 7 5 10 32:44 -12 26
W W L W W
11 22 5 10 7 25:35 -10 25
D W L D W
12 22 2 3 17 25:69 -44 9
D L L L L
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