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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
17.10.2026 14:00
Thorsvollur
Referee: T. Thordarson
Thor Akureyri
Match Timeline
Stjarnan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
O. Eggertsson · Assist: E. Atlason
Stjarnan
🟨
10'
S. Jonsson
Stjarnan
⚽
11'
A. Arnarsson
Thor Akureyri
⚽
19'
S. Ingason · Assist: B. Brynjolfsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
33'
K. Vazquez
Thor Akureyri
🟨
50'
G. Kjeldsen
Stjarnan
⚽
58'
T. Ingolfsson · Assist: E. Halldorsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
62'
G. Kjeldsen ↔ C. Alexandersson
Stjarnan
🔄
62'
B. Hauksson ↔ A. Bjarnason
Stjarnan
🔄
64'
E. Atlason ↔ A. Vilhjalmsson
Stjarnan
🟨
65'
A. Hauksson
Stjarnan
🟨
72'
A. Leifsson
Stjarnan
🔄
76'
J. Gunnarsson ↔ B. Saemundsson
Stjarnan
🔄
77'
A. Leifsson ↔ A. Bjornsson
Stjarnan
🔄
79'
B. Brynjolfsson ↔ R. Ragnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
88'
E. Halldorsson ↔ F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
🟨
90+3'
A. Bjornsson
Stjarnan

Thor Akureyri vs Stjarnan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
91.4%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.41 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
1.05 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 49.2%
Draw 8.6%
Stjarnan Win 42.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.46
Stjarnan2.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
W L L W W
4 GF / 7 GA
Stjarnan Stjarnan
L L W D W
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.84
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
2.1
13
BTTS Yes
23
15
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 26 matches
Stjarnan Stjarnan 31 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic Stjarnan
8 Wins 13
3 Draws 5
15 Losses 13
27 Goals For 57
59 Goals Against 65
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.84
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 2.1
13 BTTS Yes 23
18 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 24
11 Over 3.5 20
6 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Stjarnan. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Stjarnan having the stronger overall control. Thor Akureyri have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 10 with 21 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 22:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Stjarnan Analysis

Stjarnan sit 7 with 28 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 42:50 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 1 times, Stjarnan won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.4%)
Predicted formations: Thor Akureyri 4-1-4-1 / Stjarnan -
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 1, draws 1, Stjarnan wins 3

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs