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ICELAND › ÚRVALSDEILD
10.10.2026 14:00
Thorsvollur
Referee: V. Thorarinsson
Thor Akureyri
Match Timeline
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Tomic
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
⚽
30'
C. Jakobsen · Assist: A. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
35'
E. Halldorsson
Thor Akureyri
🟨
41'
B. Gunnarsson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
43'
A. Vokes ↔ S. Hardarson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
45+4'
F. Fridriksson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
46'
R. Hlynsson ↔ O. Sowe
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
48'
S. Magnusson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
53'
M. Edeland
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
59'
F. Fridriksson ↔ S. Kristjansson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
59'
B. Gunnarsson ↔ H. Thordarson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
76'
B. Brynjolfsson ↔ F. Gislason
Thor Akureyri
🔄
78'
M. Tomic ↔ E. Runarsson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🟨
79'
E. Runarsson
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
🔄
81'
T. Ingolfsson ↔ A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
81'
C. Jakobsen ↔ V. Bertomeu
Thor Akureyri
🔄
88'
S. Ingason ↔ B. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
88'
A. Hlynsson ↔ R. Ragnarsson
Thor Akureyri

Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 67.2%
Draw 13.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win 19.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.41
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
L L W W L
5 GF / 11 GA
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
D L D L L
3 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.4
2.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
13
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 25 matches
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 25 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic IBV Vestmannaeyjar
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 7
15 Losses 13
26 Goals For 35
59 Goals Against 49
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
2.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
13 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 21
15 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 1
8 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Thor Akureyri expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and IBV Vestmannaeyjar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

With 21 points from 22 games and a place of 10, Thor Akureyri still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 22:50 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Analysis

IBV Vestmannaeyjar sit 12 with 18 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats with a 32:45 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 1 times, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
Predicted formations: Thor Akureyri 4-1-4-1 / IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 1, draws 1, IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins 3

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D W W D
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
L L D L D
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W W L W L
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L W L W L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
W D W L W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L D L L
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
L L L W D
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W L D W W
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
L W W W L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
W W L L W
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W W L W
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
W L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs