ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Thorsvollur
Referee: V. Thorarinsson
Thor Akureyri
Match Timeline
Breidablik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
13'
V. Einarsson ↔ K. Steindorsson
Breidablik
42'
C. Jakobsen
Thor Akureyri
🟨
45+5'
H. Karlsson
Breidablik
🔄
46'
I. Arnason ↔ A. Orrason
Breidablik
🔄
46'
T. Willumsson ↔ A. Gunnleifsson
Breidablik
🔄
67'
K. Jonsson ↔ D. Fjeldsted
Breidablik
🔄
71'
F. Gislason ↔ A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
74'
K. Vazquez ↔ B. Hlynsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
77'
V. Margeirsson ↔ K. Kristinsson
Breidablik
🔄
89'
E. Halldorsson ↔ A. Magnusson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
89'
T. Ingolfsson ↔ S. Ingason
Thor Akureyri
🟨
90'
A. Sigurjonsson
Thor Akureyri

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.9%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 23.8%
Draw 17.3%
Breidablik Win 58.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.36
Breidablik2.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WWDLW
20 GF / 44 GA
Breidablik Breidablik
WLDWL
35 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
2.19
2.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
11
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 17 matches
Breidablik Breidablik 16 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic Breidablik
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
10 Losses 3
20 Goals For 35
44 Goals Against 26
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 2.19
2.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 11
9 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Breidablik's more proactive style and Thor Akureyri's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Breidablik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 29 points while Thor Akureyri sit 12 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Breidablik having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Breidablik.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri are currently 12 in the standings with 12 points from 16 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 17:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Breidablik Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 29 points from 16 games, Breidablik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 1 times, Breidablik won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:7 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: Thor Akureyri 4-3-3 / Breidablik -
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 1, draws 0, Breidablik wins 3
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
15.08.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
2
L
09.08.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
0
2
L
27.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
18.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
1
W
12.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
6
L
02.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
4
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
6
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
2
5
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
04.03.26
Fri
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
Last matches: Breidablik
16.08.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
09.08.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
1
3
L
27.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
0
W
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
13.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
2
1
W
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KA Akureyri
3
1
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Stjarnan
4
4
D
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
6
3
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
3
D
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
17.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
1
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
11.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
3
1
W
H2H: Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik
04.08.26
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
0
W
27.04.26
H2H
Breidablik
Thor Akureyri
4
0
L
14.03.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
1
L
06.03.22
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
2
L
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
15.08.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
2
L
18.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
1
W
02.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
14.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
4
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
H2H at home: Thor Akureyri
04.08.26
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
0
W
14.03.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
1
L
06.03.22
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
2
L
Last matches: Breidablik
16.08.26
Úrv
Breidablik
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
20.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
FH hafnarfjordur
0
0
D
04.07.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IA Akranes
2
1
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Stjarnan
4
4
D
29.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Fram Reykjavik
3
4
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Valur Reykjavik
2
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
Breidablik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
22.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Keflavik
0
0
D
10.04.26
Úrv
Breidablik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
18.12.25
UEF
Breidablik
Strasbourg
1
3
L
06.11.25
UEF
Breidablik
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
2
L
02.10.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lausanne
0
3
L
28.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Virtus
3
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
Breidablik
Zrinjski
1
1
D
22.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Lech Poznan
1
7
L
08.07.25
UEF
Breidablik
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0
1
L
H2H away: Breidablik
04.08.26
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
0
L
14.03.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
1
W
06.03.22
H2H
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
2
W

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 15 3 1 62:18 44 48
W D D W L
2 19 12 4 3 67:42 25 40
D W D W W
3 18 11 4 3 45:34 11 37
L W D W W
4 19 8 6 5 39:33 6 30
D L L W D
5 19 7 4 8 33:37 -4 25
W W D W L
6 19 7 4 8 30:34 -4 25
W L W L W
7 18 7 1 10 31:36 -5 22
W L L L L
8 18 6 3 9 33:43 -10 21
W W L L D
9 19 4 5 10 30:41 -11 17
L D L L D
10 19 3 8 8 24:36 -12 17
L W D D D
11 18 4 3 11 24:36 -12 15
L L D D W
12 19 4 3 12 18:46 -28 15
L L W D W
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs