FRANCE LIGUE 3
--.--.---- --:--
Stadium Plaine
Thionville Lusitanos
Match Timeline
Caen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: D. Bolumbu
Caen
16'
M. Hafid
Caen
21'
K. Bouhmidi · Assist: D. Luvualu
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
41'
S. Mbaka
Caen
🟨
45+4'
S. Bouzar
Thionville Lusitanos
45+8'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: F. El Khoumisti
Caen
🟨
49'
D. Luvualu
Thionville Lusitanos
53'
M. Aljic · Assist: J. Moustaid
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
62'
J. Moustaid ↔ F. Gobitaka
Thionville Lusitanos
63'
F. Gobitaka · Assist: K. Tubio
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
65'
K. Portut ↔ I. Botella
Caen
67'
K. Bouhmidi
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
71'
L. Milliner ↔ J. Kimboma
Caen
🔄
71'
M. A. El Idrissi ↔ S. Diakite
Caen
🔄
75'
K. Bouhmidi ↔ A. Gouletquer
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
78'
H. Lamouliatte ↔ A. Gnanduillet
Caen
🔄
78'
D. Appiah ↔ F. Bomo
Caen
🟨
80'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🟨
83'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🟥
83'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🔄
85'
K. Tubio ↔ G. Laurens
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
86'
E. Montet ↔ B. Labissiere
Thionville Lusitanos
88'
A. Gnanduillet · Assist: M. Hafid
Caen
🟨
90+5'
W. Bedfian
Thionville Lusitanos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 3.48
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 2.02
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
3.48
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
2.02
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.61
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Thionville Lusitanos Win 17.5%
Draw 9.2%
Caen Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thionville Lusitanos2.7
Caen2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
WWDLW
14 GF / 2 GA
Caen Caen
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
3
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 4 matches
Caen Caen 6 matches
Thionville Lusitanos Statistic Caen
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
14 Goals For 18
2 Goals Against 9
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Thionville Lusitanos won 1 times, Caen won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Thionville Lusitanos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Thionville Lusitanos wins 1, draws 0, Caen wins 0

Lineups

Thionville Lusitanos
Formation
Caen
W. Bedfian
W. Bedfian
D. Luvualu
🎯
D. Luvualu
M. Aljic
M. Aljic
J. Atangana
J. Atangana
S. Bouzar
S. Bouzar
B. Diarra
B. Diarra
S. Kilic
S. Kilic
J. Moustaid
🎯
J. Moustaid
E. Montet
E. Montet
K. Bouhmidi
⚽ 2
K. Bouhmidi
K. Tubio
🎯
K. Tubio
Y. Clementia
Y. Clementia
H. Lamouliatte
H. Lamouliatte
S. Mbaka
S. Mbaka
D. Appiah
D. Appiah
D. Bolumbu
🎯
D. Bolumbu
L. Milliner
L. Milliner
Z. Bagbema
Z. Bagbema
M. Hafid
🎯
M. Hafid
M. A. El Idrissi
M. A. El Idrissi
K. Portut
K. Portut
F. El Khoumisti
⚽ 2 🎯
F. El Khoumisti
Thionville Lusitanos 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
40
W. Bedfian
🟨 90+5'
17
D. Luvualu
🎯 21' 🟨 49'
6
M. Aljic
⚽ 53'
5
J. Atangana
23
S. Bouzar
🟨 45+4'
20
B. Diarra
8
S. Kilic
22
J. Moustaid
🎯 53' ↓ 62'
26
E. Montet
↓ 86'
9
K. Bouhmidi
⚽ 21' ⚽ 67' ↓ 75'
7
K. Tubio
🎯 63' ↓ 85'
Substitutes
16
A. Parisot
12
F. Gobitaka
⚽ 63' ↑ 62'
27
M. Rampont
10
B. Labissiere
↑ 86'
11
G. Laurens
↑ 85'
21
A. Gouletquer
↑ 75'
14
S. Kalambayi Mukuta
Caen 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
Y. Clementia
19
H. Lamouliatte
↓ 78'
4
S. Mbaka
🟨 41'
12
D. Appiah
↓ 78'
3
D. Bolumbu
🎯 14'
24
L. Milliner
↓ 71'
25
Z. Bagbema
🟨 80' 🟨 83' 🟥 83'
22
M. Hafid
⚽ 16' 🎯 88'
27
M. A. El Idrissi
↓ 71'
20
K. Portut
↓ 65'
9
F. El Khoumisti
⚽ 14' ⚽ 45+8' 🎯 45+8'
Substitutes
6
J. Kimboma
↑ 71'
8
S. Noireau-Dauriat
10
I. Botella
↑ 65'
11
A. Gnanduillet
⚽ 88' ↑ 78'
18
F. Bomo
↑ 78'
29
S. Diakite
↑ 71'
40
R. Tutu
Last matches: Thionville Lusitanos
07.08.26
Lig
Thionville Lusitanos
Aubagne
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Thionville Lusitanos
Nancy
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Thionville Lusitanos
Progres Niederkorn
5
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Thionville Lusitanos
RM Hamm Benfica
4
0
W
15.11.25
Cou
Thionville Lusitanos
Racing Besançon
0
4
L
Last matches: Caen
07.08.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
4
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Caen
Dieppe
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Caen
Al Wakrah
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Caen
Laval
4
2
W
15.07.26
Fri
Caen
Gobelins
3
4
L
09.07.26
Fri
Caen
Rennes
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Caen
Aubagne
1
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Caen
Concarneau
0
0
D
24.04.26
Lig
Caen
Villefranche
3
0
W
17.04.26
Lig
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Caen
Gobelins
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lig
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
27.03.26
Lig
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lig
Caen
Orleans
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Caen
Le Puy Foot
0
1
L
06.03.26
Lig
Caen
Chateauroux
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Caen
Sochaux
1
3
L
13.02.26
Lig
Caen
Dijon
3
3
D
06.02.26
Lig
Caen
Fleury 91
1
0
W
H2H: Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen
14.08.26
H2H
Thionville Lusitanos
Caen
4
3
W
Last matches: Thionville Lusitanos
18.07.26
Fri
Thionville Lusitanos
Nancy
2
2
D
H2H at home: Thionville Lusitanos
14.08.26
H2H
Thionville Lusitanos
Caen
4
3
W
Last matches: Caen
09.07.26
Fri
Caen
Rennes
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Caen
Aubagne
1
3
L
17.04.26
Lig
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
2
0
W
10.04.26
Lig
Caen
Gobelins
3
0
W
27.03.26
Lig
Caen
Rouen
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lig
Caen
Le Puy Foot
0
1
L
28.02.26
Lig
Caen
Valenciennes
1
2
L
13.02.26
Lig
Caen
Dijon
3
3
D
30.01.26
Lig
Caen
Versailles
1
2
L
16.01.26
Lig
Caen
Concarneau
3
3
D
05.12.25
Lig
Caen
Villefranche
1
1
D
15.11.25
Cou
Caen
Bayeux
2
3
L
31.10.25
Lig
Caen
Stade Briochin
1
1
D
17.10.25
Lig
Caen
Orleans
1
2
L
26.09.25
Lig
Caen
Chateauroux
1
2
L
12.09.25
Lig
Caen
Sochaux
1
1
D
29.08.25
Lig
Caen
Fleury 91
2
1
W
15.08.25
Lig
Caen
Quevilly
1
1
D
H2H away: Caen
14.08.26
H2H
Thionville Lusitanos
Caen
4
3
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.48
Draw 3.48
Home 2.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.18
Draw 2.22
Home 2.73
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.32
Over 1.75 1.40
Over 2.0 1.51
Over 2.25 1.76
Over 2.5 2.02
Over 2.75 2.31
Over 3.0 2.84
Over 3.5 3.53
Over 4.5 6.99
Under 1.5 3.39
Under 1.75 2.92
Under 2.0 2.59
Under 2.25 2.09
Under 2.5 1.83
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.43
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 3.40
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.20
Home 2.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.50
Home 2.25
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 9.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 3.26
Home 2.03
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.14
Draw 2.06
Home 2.64
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.66
Draw 2.40
Home 2.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.04
Over 1.25 1.15
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.35
Over 2.0 1.45
Over 2.25 1.72
Over 2.5 1.94
Over 2.75 2.15
Over 3.0 2.62
Over 3.25 2.92
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 4.00
Over 4.0 5.45
Over 4.25 5.80
Over 4.5 6.15
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.30
Under 0.75 7.65
Under 1.0 7.10
Under 1.25 4.19
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 1.75 2.74
Under 2.0 2.41
Under 2.25 2.00
Under 2.5 1.77
Under 2.75 1.56
Under 3.0 1.38
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.08
Under 4.25 1.07
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 3.40
Home 2.06
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.16
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.90
Over 3.5 3.35
Under 1.5 3.05
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 3.5 1.23

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:3 4 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 4:2 2 6
W W
3 2 1 1 0 2:1 1 4
W D
4
Caen Away
2 1 0 1 7:4 3 3
L W
5 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
W L
6 2 1 0 1 2:1 1 3
L W
7 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
L W
11 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
W L
12 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
L W
13 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
14 2 0 2 0 1:1 0 2
D D
15 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
16 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
L D
18 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation