FRANCE LIGUE 3
14.08.2026 17:00
Stadium Plaine
Thionville Lusitanos
Match Timeline
Caen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: D. Bolumbu
Caen
16'
M. Hafid
Caen
21'
K. Bouhmidi · Assist: D. Luvualu
Thionville Lusitanos
🟨
41'
S. Mbaka
Caen
🟨
45+4'
S. Bouzar
Thionville Lusitanos
45+8'
F. El Khoumisti · Assist: F. El Khoumisti
Caen
🟨
49'
D. Luvualu
Thionville Lusitanos
53'
M. Aljic · Assist: J. Moustaid
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
62'
J. Moustaid ↔ F. Gobitaka
Thionville Lusitanos
63'
F. Gobitaka · Assist: K. Tubio
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
64'
K. Portut ↔ I. Botella
Caen
67'
K. Bouhmidi · Assist: K. Tubio
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
70'
L. Milliner ↔ J. Kimboma
Caen
🔄
71'
M. A. El Idrissi ↔ S. Diakite
Caen
🔄
75'
K. Bouhmidi ↔ A. Gouletquer
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
78'
H. Lamouliatte ↔ A. Gnanduillet
Caen
🔄
78'
D. Appiah ↔ F. Bomo
Caen
🟨
80'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🟨
83'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🟥
83'
Z. Bagbema
Caen
🔄
85'
K. Tubio ↔ G. Laurens
Thionville Lusitanos
🔄
86'
E. Montet ↔ B. Labissiere
Thionville Lusitanos
88'
A. Gnanduillet · Assist: M. Hafid
Caen
🟨
90+5'
W. Bedfian
Thionville Lusitanos

Thionville Lusitanos vs Caen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Thionville Lusitanos Win 17.5%
Draw 9.2%
Caen Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thionville Lusitanos2.7
Caen2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos
WWDLW
14 GF / 2 GA
Caen Caen
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
3.5
Average Goals Scored
3
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thionville Lusitanos Thionville Lusitanos 4 matches
Caen Caen 6 matches
Thionville Lusitanos Statistic Caen
3 Wins 4
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 1
14 Goals For 18
2 Goals Against 9
3.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
1 BTTS Yes 5
4 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Thionville Lusitanos won 1 times, Caen won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Thionville Lusitanos's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
H2H summary: Thionville Lusitanos wins 1, draws 0, Caen wins 0

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 12:2 10 14
W D W W W
2
Caen Away
6 4 0 2 12:5 7 12
W W L W L
3 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 12:10 2 11
L D D W W
5 6 2 4 0 7:2 5 10
D W W D D
6 6 2 3 1 7:6 1 9
W D D W D
7 6 3 0 3 10:11 -1 9
W L L W W
8 6 3 0 3 5:8 -3 9
W L W L W
9 6 2 2 2 4:6 -2 8
L D D W L
10 6 2 2 2 6:8 -2 8
W D W L D
11 6 2 2 2 6:2 4 8
D W W L L
12 6 2 2 2 10:7 3 8
W W L L D
13 6 2 1 3 5:6 -1 7
L D L W L
14 6 2 1 3 6:8 -2 7
L D L W L
15 6 1 2 3 5:9 -4 5
L D D L W
16 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D W L L
17 6 1 1 4 5:13 -8 4
D L L L W
18 6 1 0 5 3:11 -8 3
L L L L L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation