BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Hernando Siles

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 74.4%
Draw 11.3%
Universitario de Vinto Win 14.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest1.83
Universitario de Vinto1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
38 GF / 26 GA
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WLDWL
27 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
15
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
12
2.86
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 23 matches
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 19 matches
The Strongest Statistic Universitario de Vinto
12 Wins 4
6 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
38 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 40
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
15 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 1
6 Failed To Score 5
2.86 Shots On Goal 4.75
10.07 Total Shots 12.25
3 Corners 4
34.7% Ball Possession 39.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by The Strongest's more proactive style and Universitario de Vinto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Universitario de Vinto. Universitario de Vinto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Universitario de Vinto having the stronger overall control. The Strongest arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 27 points compared to Universitario de Vinto in 15 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

The Strongest Analysis

Placed 3 with 27 points from 14 outings, The Strongest continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 21:14 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

With 11 points from 14 games and a place of 15, Universitario de Vinto still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:30, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 9 times, Universitario de Vinto won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:17 from The Strongest's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.7%)
Predicted formations: The Strongest 4-2-3-1 / Universitario de Vinto -
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 9, draws 1, Universitario de Vinto wins 3
Last matches: The Strongest
15.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Guabirá
1
3
L
08.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
05.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
3
2
W
31.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
1
1
D
19.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
3
2
W
24.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Blooming
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
0
5
L
06.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
0
4
L
08.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
4
L
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
3
4
L
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
20.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
5
L
H2H: The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
05.04.26
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
W
04.12.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
0
1
W
29.06.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
20.02.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
3
0
L
14.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
2
4
W
14.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
2
L
20.04.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
0
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
3
W
04.02.23
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
15.10.22
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
2
1
L
07.08.22
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
Last matches: The Strongest
08.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
04.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Jorge Wilstermann
6
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
2
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
2
3
L
22.11.25
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
2
1
W
18.10.25
Pri
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
29.09.25
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
3
2
W
12.07.25
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
6
0
W
H2H at home: The Strongest
29.06.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
14.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
14.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
28.04.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
2
L
04.02.23
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
07.08.22
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
09.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
0
5
L
27.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
0
4
L
08.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
4
L
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
3
4
L
20.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
5
L
08.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
0
2
L
29.11.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
0
3
L
25.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
0
2
L
18.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
1
5
L
24.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
0
1
L
12.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
1
5
L
03.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
0
3
L
12.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
29.06.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
2
3
L
H2H away: Universitario de Vinto
29.06.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
L
14.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
1
D
14.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
L
28.04.24
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
1
2
W
04.02.23
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
L
07.08.22
H2H
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L