06.09.2026 22:00
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: I. N. Mendez Chavez
The Strongest
Match Timeline
Real Tomayapo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Denilzon Ramallo
Real Tomayapo
24'
J. Arrascaita
The Strongest
🟨
27'
Jesús Velasquez
Real Tomayapo
41'
Saavedra · Assist: A. Estacio
The Strongest
🔄
64'
C. Arabe ↔ J. Guerra
Real Tomayapo
🔄
64'
R. Eguez ↔ R. Cuellar Orti
Real Tomayapo
🔄
64'
J. Senzano ↔ Y. Espindola
Real Tomayapo
🔄
68'
C. Ventura ↔ Pachu
The Strongest
🔄
69'
J. Welch ↔ K. F. Salvatierra Flores
The Strongest
🔄
69'
L. S. Montenegro ↔ J. Ribera
Real Tomayapo
76'
K. F. Salvatierra Flores · Assist: Saavedra
The Strongest
🔄
77'
Y. Alvarez ↔ J. Mamani
Real Tomayapo
🔄
78'
J. Arrascaita ↔ V. Cuellar
The Strongest
🔄
83'
G. Sotomayor ↔ K. Adin Chacon Arrascayta
The Strongest
🔄
83'
F. Quaglio ↔ J. Cuellar
The Strongest
🟨
90+2'
Martín Chiatti
The Strongest
🟨
90+7'
César Luis Aguilera Romero
Real Tomayapo
90'
D. Robles
Real Tomayapo

The Strongest vs Real Tomayapo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.19
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.1%
1.19
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
2.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 62.1%
Draw 14.5%
Real Tomayapo Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest1.92
Real Tomayapo0.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
45 GF / 29 GA
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo
WLDWL
15 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
16
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
10
2.79
Shots on Goal
1.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 25 matches
Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 19 matches
The Strongest Statistic Real Tomayapo
14 Wins 4
6 Draws 4
5 Losses 11
45 Goals For 15
29 Goals Against 40
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
16 BTTS Yes 10
20 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 6
2.79 Shots On Goal 1.47
8.74 Total Shots 4.18
2.53 Corners 1.59
31.4% Ball Possession 18.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by The Strongest's more proactive style and Real Tomayapo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Tomayapo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The Strongest arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 33 points compared to Real Tomayapo in 14 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with The Strongest expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Real Tomayapo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Tomayapo having the stronger overall control.

The Strongest Analysis

The Strongest come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 33 points after 17 matches. The return of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 29:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Real Tomayapo Analysis

Real Tomayapo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 16 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 13:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 6 times, Real Tomayapo won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from The Strongest's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: The Strongest 5-4-1 / Real Tomayapo 4-4-2
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 6, draws 5, Real Tomayapo wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 20 14 3 3 54:22 32 45
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 9 3 8 36:27 9 30
W L L D W
6 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
7 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
8 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 20 7 4 9 27:35 -8 25
L L L W L
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 6 2 12 21:40 -19 20
W L L L L
14 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
15 20 4 4 12 15:39 -24 16
L L L W D
16 20 2 8 10 21:37 -16 14
L L L D D