BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Hernando Siles

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
-
BTTS Yes
82.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 64.3%
Draw 8.3%
Independiente Petrolero Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest1.69
Independiente Petrolero1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
36 GF / 21 GA
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero
WLDWL
19 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
13
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
2.27
Shots on Goal
2.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 21 matches
Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 15 matches
The Strongest Statistic Independiente Petrolero
12 Wins 4
6 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
36 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 25
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
2.27 Shots On Goal 2.31
8.33 Total Shots 5.31
2.27 Corners 1.92
28.7% Ball Possession 21.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by The Strongest's more proactive style and Independiente Petrolero's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with The Strongest expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente Petrolero in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente Petrolero having the stronger overall control. Independiente Petrolero arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Independiente Petrolero. The Strongest arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 24 points compared to Independiente Petrolero in 12 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

The Strongest Analysis

The Strongest arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 24 points after 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 0 losses, while the 17:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Independiente Petrolero Analysis

Independiente Petrolero sit 12 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 5 times, Independiente Petrolero won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:7 from The Strongest's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: The Strongest 4-2-3-1 / Independiente Petrolero 4-3-3
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 5, draws 4, Independiente Petrolero wins 0
Last matches: The Strongest
05.08.26
Pri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
3
2
W
31.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
26.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
1
1
D
19.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
3
2
W
24.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Blooming
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
The Strongest
Always Ready
0
2
L
11.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
04.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
1
1
D
01.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Potosí
1
2
L
16.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
1
2
L
13.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
3
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
0
D
01.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
03.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
0
3
L
16.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
13.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
4
L
14.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
07.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
1
2
L
02.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
3
1
W
30.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
H2H: The Strongest vs Independiente Petrolero
18.10.25
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
27.04.25
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
1
D
01.12.24
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
0
2
W
04.08.24
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
5
0
W
17.07.23
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
2
0
W
12.02.23
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
4
W
03.09.22
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
1
D
12.09.21
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
04.04.21
H2H
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
2
2
D
Last matches: The Strongest
31.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
04.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
14.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Jorge Wilstermann
6
0
W
07.12.25
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
2
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
2
3
L
22.11.25
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
2
1
W
18.10.25
Pri
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
29.09.25
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
1
W
03.08.25
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
3
2
W
12.07.25
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
6
0
W
29.06.25
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
H2H at home: The Strongest
18.10.25
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
W
04.08.24
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
5
0
W
17.07.23
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
2
0
W
12.09.21
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D
Last matches: Independiente Petrolero
01.08.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
3
0
W
16.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
1
3
L
12.07.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
1
2
L
01.05.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
2
D
22.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
2
2
D
16.03.26
Fri
Independiente Petrolero
Blooming
0
1
L
10.12.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Universitario de Vinto
3
2
W
30.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Nacional Potosí
1
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Aurora
3
2
W
18.10.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
The Strongest
1
3
L
23.09.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Oriente Petrolero
1
2
L
24.08.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Oruro
4
3
W
10.08.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
29.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
ABB
2
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Always Ready
0
5
L
07.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Bolívar
0
4
L
01.07.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Guabirá
1
1
D
17.05.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
Real Tomayapo
3
3
D
02.05.25
Pri
Independiente Petrolero
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
4
L
H2H away: Independiente Petrolero
18.10.25
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
3
1
L
04.08.24
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
5
0
L
17.07.23
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
2
0
L
12.09.21
H2H
The Strongest
Independiente Petrolero
1
1
D

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 2 1 28:6 22 29
W W W W W
2 12 6 6 0 17:10 7 24
D D D W D
3 13 5 7 1 21:15 6 22
D D W D L
4 12 6 3 3 26:12 14 21
L W W D L
5 13 5 3 5 22:26 -4 18
W D W L W
6 12 4 5 3 17:10 7 17
D L W W D
7 12 4 5 3 17:14 3 17
L D W D W
8 12 5 2 5 16:16 0 17
W W D L L
9 13 4 4 5 19:20 -1 16
D W L L L
10 13 5 1 7 24:28 -4 16
W D L L W
11 12 4 3 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D W
12 13 4 2 7 23:34 -11 14
L L L W L
13 12 4 1 7 15:23 -8 13
W L W L L
14 12 3 2 7 17:23 -6 11
D L L L L
15 12 2 5 5 12:18 -6 11
D W D D L
16 13 2 3 8 9:29 -20 9
L D L L W