BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Estadio Hernando Siles

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.6%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
The Strongest Win 54.6%
Draw 9.5%
Aurora Win 35.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
The Strongest1.56
Aurora1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
The Strongest The Strongest
WWDLW
32 GF / 18 GA
Aurora Aurora
WLDWL
22 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.69
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
11
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
6
4.5
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The Strongest The Strongest 19 matches
Aurora Aurora 13 matches
The Strongest Statistic Aurora
11 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
3 Losses 2
32 Goals For 22
18 Goals Against 18
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 0
16.5 Total Shots 0
5.5 Corners 0
55% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aurora having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aurora. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

The Strongest Analysis

The Strongest come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 23 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, while the 16:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Aurora Analysis

Aurora approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 20 points after 11 outings. They have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, with a 19:13 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, The Strongest won 6 times, Aurora won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from The Strongest's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
H2H summary: The Strongest wins 6, draws 5, Aurora wins 4
Last matches: The Strongest
26.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Blooming
1
1
D
19.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
0
D
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
14.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Always Ready
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
3
2
W
24.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Tomayapo
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Blooming
2
1
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
01.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
22.02.26
Fri
The Strongest
Always Ready
0
2
L
11.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
0
1
L
04.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
Last matches: Aurora
24.07.26
Pri
Aurora
ABB
3
2
W
19.07.26
Pri
Aurora
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
10.07.26
Pri
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
02.06.26
Pri
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Aurora
Real Tomayapo
2
0
W
13.05.26
Pri
Aurora
Real Oruro
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Aurora
Guabirá
4
2
W
28.04.26
Pri
Aurora
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
1
W
21.04.26
Pri
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Aurora
Always Ready
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Aurora
Real Potosí
0
0
D
17.03.26
Fri
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2
4
L
11.03.26
Fri
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
H2H: The Strongest vs Aurora
16.11.25
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
1
2
W
13.11.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
13.09.25
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
2
1
L
18.04.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
3
2
W
02.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
1
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
04.11.23
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
0
3
W
09.08.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
0
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
23.02.23
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
1
1
D
05.10.22
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
0
0
D
24.07.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
0
W
11.04.22
H2H
Aurora
The Strongest
1
0
L
Last matches: The Strongest
16.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
12.07.26
Pri
The Strongest
Bolívar
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
Real Potosí
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
The Strongest
ABB
3
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
The Strongest
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
3
2
W
25.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Real Oruro
4
1
W
11.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Oriente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
The Strongest
Nacional Potosí
5
1
W
04.02.26
CON
The Strongest
Deportivo Tachira FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: The Strongest
13.11.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
18.04.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
3
2
W
02.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
W
27.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
09.08.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
0
1
L
07.05.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
24.07.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
0
W
Last matches: Aurora
10.07.26
Pri
Aurora
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
02.06.26
Pri
Aurora
Universitario de Vinto
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Aurora
Real Tomayapo
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Aurora
Real Potosí
0
0
D
11.03.26
Fri
Aurora
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
H2H away: Aurora
13.11.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
18.04.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
3
2
L
02.02.25
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
L
27.07.24
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
1
D
09.08.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
0
1
W
07.05.23
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
2
2
D
24.07.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
4
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
The Strongest
Aurora
1
0
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 8 2 1 27:6 21 26
W W W W L
2 11 6 5 0 16:9 7 23
D D W D W
3 11 6 3 2 26:11 15 21
W W D L D
4 11 5 5 1 19:13 6 20
W D L W W
5 11 4 5 2 17:12 5 17
D W D W L
6 11 4 4 3 17:10 7 16
L W W D W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
W L D W L
8 11 4 2 5 15:16 -1 14
W D L L D
9 11 4 2 5 22:27 -5 14
L W L W W
10 11 4 2 5 18:25 -7 14
W L W W D
11 11 3 3 5 15:19 -4 12
L L L L W
12 11 4 0 7 19:26 -7 12
L L W L L
13 11 3 1 7 16:22 -6 10
L L L L W
14 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
W D D L W
15 11 3 1 7 13:23 -10 10
L W L L L
16 11 2 2 7 8:25 -17 8
L L W L L