NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

30.08.2026 14:45

Telstar

0 - 4

Ajax

BUKO Stadion

Referee: Dennis Higler, Netherlands

Telstar

Match Timeline

Ajax

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Telstar vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Away Win

Probability 60.8%

Odds 1.53

BTTS

Yes

Probability 86%

Odds 1.50

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 82.2%

Odds 1.40

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Away Win	60.8%	1.53	▥
BTTS	Yes	86%	1.50	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	82.2%	1.40	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.14	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Away	-	4.75	▥
Correct Score	1-2	-	8.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Telstar Win 35.9%

Draw 3.4%

Ajax Win 60.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Telstar1.59

Ajax2.31

Recent Form (Last 5)

Telstar

WWDLW

11 GF / 13 GA

Ajax

WLDWL

41 GF / 21 GA

Key Stats

1.83

Average Goals Scored

2.41

2.17

Average Goals Conceded

1.24

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Telstar 6 matches

Ajax 17 matches

Telstar	Statistic	Ajax
2	Wins	11
0	Draws	4
4	Losses	2
11	Goals For	41
13	Goals Against	21
1.83	Avg Goals Scored	2.41
2.17	Avg Goals Conceded	1.24
5	BTTS Yes	12
5	Over 1.5	14
5	Over 2.5	12
3	Over 3.5	11
0	Clean Sheets	4
1	Failed To Score	1
2	Shots On Goal	9
7.5	Total Shots	24.25
5	Corners	9
45%	Ball Possession	65%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Telstar won 0 times, Ajax won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:11 from Telstar's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)

Predicted formations: Telstar 3-4-2-1 / Ajax 4-4-1-1

Missing players: Telstar 0, Ajax 4

H2H summary: Telstar wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	5	1	0	22:7	15	16	W W W W W
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	17:6	11	16	D W W W W
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	20:7	13	14	W W D W D
4	Twente	6	4	1	1	12:5	7	13	W W D W W
5	Ajax Away	5	3	1	1	14:6	8	10	W L W D W
6	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	13:7	6	10	L D W W L
7	Fortuna Sittard	6	3	1	2	12:14	-2	10	L W W L W
8	GO Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	15:13	2	9	D D L W D
9	Groningen	6	2	2	2	12:13	-1	8	D D L L W
10	NEC Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	11:12	-1	7	L D L W W
11	Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	7:9	-2	6	D L D L D
12	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	10:13	-3	5	L D L D W
13	Telstar Home	6	1	2	3	5:11	-6	5	D L D L L
14	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	11:19	-8	5	W D L D L
15	Cambuur	6	1	1	4	9:18	-9	4	W D L L L
16	PEC Zwolle	6	1	1	4	6:17	-11	4	L D L W L
17	Willem II	5	0	2	3	5:14	-9	2	D L D L L
18	ADO Den Haag	6	0	1	5	6:16	-10	1	L L D L L