Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
42.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tecnico Universitario
24 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
23 matches
| Tecnico Universitario | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 7 |
| 14 | Losses | 9 |
| 20 | Goals For | 29 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 0.83 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.48 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.83 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 12 | Total Shots | 12.96 |
| 4.91 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 42.3% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mushuc Runa SC. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 26 points from 23 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 20:29, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mushuc Runa SC sit 10 with 28 points after 23 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, while the 29:34 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Kevin Velasco (2 goals), Cristopher Angulo (2 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), Jackson González (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Away
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|