Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
73.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tecnico Universitario
15 matches
Leones del Norte
14 matches
| Tecnico Universitario | Statistic | Leones del Norte |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 14 | Goals For | 13 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 15 |
| 0.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.93 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.07 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.36 | Shots On Goal | 2.93 |
| 13.07 | Total Shots | 9.29 |
| 5.14 | Corners | 3.64 |
| 44.5% | Ball Possession | 42.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leones del Norte. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
With 14 points from 14 games and a place of 14, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 14:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Julian Anaya (3 goals), Cesar Castano (2 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Yorlin Arce (3 assists), Cesar Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Leones del Norte are currently 11 in the standings with 16 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 13:15 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Anangono (4 goals), E. Griffa (3 goals), E. Pepinos (2 goals), with creative support from E. Pepinos (1 assists), D. Pazmino (1 assists), Segundo Portocarrero (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 1 times, Leones del Norte won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Leones del Norte
Away
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|