ECUADOR LIGA PRO
05.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: G. Gonzalez
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
Luis Estupiñan · Assist: Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
52'
Michael Estrada · Assist: Fernando Cornejo
LDU de Quito
🔄
59'
Jose Carabali ↔ Luis Segovia
LDU de Quito
🔄
63'
Bagner Delgado ↔ Liberman Torres
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
63'
Adrian Cela ↔ Cristopher Josué Arteaga Cheme
Tecnico Universitario
64'
Lucas Rodriguez · Assist: Luis Segovia
LDU de Quito
🔄
68'
Ricardo Ade ↔ Richard Mina
LDU de Quito
🟨
71'
Gian Franco Allala
LDU de Quito
🔄
73'
Luis Estupiñan ↔ Anthony Castilo
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
74'
Rafael Francisco Chila Macias
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
81'
Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina ↔ Cesar Castano
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
81'
Diego Armas ↔ Wagner Eriberto Caicedo Peralta
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
86'
Fernando Cornejo ↔ Juan rodriguez
LDU de Quito
🔄
86'
Janner Corozo ↔ Deyverson
LDU de Quito
🔄
86'
Lucas Rodriguez ↔ Sebastián González
LDU de Quito
90'
Juan rodriguez · Assist: Sebastián González
LDU de Quito

Tecnico Universitario vs LDU de Quito Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.2%
1.22
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.25
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 27.8%
Draw 18.1%
LDU de Quito Win 54.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.86
LDU de Quito1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
26 GF / 40 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
41 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.9
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
11
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
9
3.79
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 29 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 39 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic LDU de Quito
9 Wins 17
2 Draws 10
18 Losses 12
26 Goals For 41
40 Goals Against 31
0.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
11 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 16
13 Failed To Score 15
3.79 Shots On Goal 3.33
11.96 Total Shots 13.61
4.71 Corners 5.28
40.5% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors LDU de Quito. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 4-4-2 and LDU de Quito in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. LDU de Quito carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 41 points while Tecnico Universitario sit 14 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

With 29 points from 27 games and a place of 14, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 26:38, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Julian Anaya (4 goals), Mateo Castano (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (3 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Bagner Delgado (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

LDU de Quito Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 41 points from 27 games, LDU de Quito bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, together with goals at 27:22, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Yerlin Quinonez (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 1 times, LDU de Quito won 13 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:29 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 4-4-2 / LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 1, draws 1, LDU de Quito wins 13

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
L W W D D
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W W L W W
4 30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
L D D D W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
W D W D L
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
W L W D L
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
D L D W L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
D W L L W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
D L D D W
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L L W D W
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D D L W L
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
D W L L W
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D D L W L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs