Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
52%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.6%
|
- |
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tecnico Universitario
10 matches
Emelec
9 matches
| Tecnico Universitario | Statistic | Emelec |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 8 | Goals For | 7 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.78 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.11 |
| 12.11 | Total Shots | 10.67 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.22 |
| 42.2% | Ball Possession | 48% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Emelec. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Emelec in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Emelec having the stronger overall control. Tecnico Universitario arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 11 points compared to Emelec in 15 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
With 11 points from 9 games and a place of 11, Tecnico Universitario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 8:8, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cesar Castano (2 goals), Julian Anaya (2 goals), M. Cagua (2 goals), with creative support from Cesar Castano (1 assists), Johan Bocanegra (1 assists), Kener Arce (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Emelec approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Luca Klimowicz (2 goals), R. Caicedo (2 goals), I. Guerrico (1 goals), with creative support from I. Guerrico (1 assists), A. Mina (1 assists), Aníbal Leguizamón (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 3 times, Emelec won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.53 goals per game.
Tecnico Universitario
7
2
12
4
4
2
Lineups
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Macara
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Libertad
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Emelec
Guayaquil City FC
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Deportivo Cuenca
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Orense SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Emelec
Delfin SC
Emelec
Manta FC
Emelec
Leones del Norte
Emelec
Aucas
Emelec
Universidad Catolica
Emelec
Mushuc Runa SC
Emelec
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:13 | 7 | 29 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19:14 | 5 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 27 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28:17 | 11 | 26 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 23 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Emelec
Away
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 20 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 13 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 19 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9:16 | -7 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | -16 | 12 |
L
W
L
D
L
|