ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: B. L. Salazar
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Barcelona SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
7'
Johan Bocanegra
Tecnico Universitario
10'
B. Delgado
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
45+3'
W. Vargas
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
W. Vargas ↔ B. Carabali
Barcelona SC
🔄
46'
M. Celiz ↔ J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
VAR
57'
J. Majao
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
61'
T. Martinez ↔ J. Wila
Barcelona SC
🔄
65'
W. Caicedo ↔ J. Montes
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
65'
B. Delgado ↔ J. Caicedo
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
65'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
Barcelona SC
🔄
67'
M. Mejia ↔ H. Villalba
Barcelona SC
🟨
71'
L. Estupinan
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
72'
L. Estupinan ↔ C. Arteaga
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
79'
J. Perlaza ↔ J. Gomez
Barcelona SC
🔄
84'
J. Majao ↔ A. Copete
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
89'
A. Morales
Tecnico Universitario

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.1%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 22.8%
Odds 1.66
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.1%
1.33
BTTS BTTS No
29%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
22.8%
1.66
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
1.28
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 41.4%
Draw 19.9%
Barcelona SC Win 38.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario1.01
Barcelona SC1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
WLDWL
28 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
7
BTTS Yes
12
6
Over 2.5
11
4.73
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 16 matches
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 29 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Barcelona SC
5 Wins 12
2 Draws 7
9 Losses 10
16 Goals For 28
17 Goals Against 30
1 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
7 BTTS Yes 12
10 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 9
4.73 Shots On Goal 3.64
13.6 Total Shots 11.88
5 Corners 3.68
44.4% Ball Possession 47.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Barcelona SC's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Barcelona SC in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barcelona SC having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barcelona SC. Tecnico Universitario have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Barcelona SC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 26 points while Tecnico Universitario sit 11 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

Tecnico Universitario approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 17 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 16:16, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cesar Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Yorlin Arce (3 assists), Cesar Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barcelona SC Analysis

Placed 4 with 26 points from 15 outings, Barcelona SC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 18:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Benedetto (5 goals), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (3 goals), Jandry Gomez (2 goals), with creative support from D. Benedetto (2 assists), M. Celiz (2 assists), J. R. Quinonez Ruiz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 1 times, Barcelona SC won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:24 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.1%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 3-4-3 / Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 1, draws 4, Barcelona SC wins 10
Stats
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC Barcelona SC
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
11
1 Corner Kicks 7
6 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 0
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 10
0 Blocked Shots 11
3 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 13
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
152 Total passes 504
83 Passes accurate 445
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tecnico Universitario
Formation
Barcelona SC
Ayrton Morales
Ayrton Morales
Edwin Mesa
Edwin Mesa
Julian Anaya
Julian Anaya
Rafael Chila
Rafael Chila
Yorlin Arce
Yorlin Arce
Mateo Castano
Mateo Castano
Jonathan Majao
Jonathan Majao
Johan Bocanegra
Johan Bocanegra
Bagner Delgado
Bagner Delgado
Luis Estupiñan
Luis Estupiñan
Wagner Caicedo
Wagner Caicedo
José Contreras
José Contreras
Willian Vargas
Willian Vargas
Javier Báez
Javier Báez
Luca Sosa
Luca Sosa
Jonathan Perlaza
Jonathan Perlaza
Milton Celiz
Milton Celiz
Matias Lugo
Matias Lugo
Luis Cano
Luis Cano
Tomás Martínez
Tomás Martínez
Marcos Mejía
Marcos Mejía
Sergio Núñez
Sergio Núñez
Tecnico Universitario 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Ayrton Morales
🟨 89'
G
23
Edwin Mesa
D
13
Julian Anaya
D
53
Rafael Chila
D
85
Yorlin Arce
D
70
Mateo Castano
M
33
Jonathan Majao
↓ 84'
M
10
Johan Bocanegra
🟥 7'
M
25
Bagner Delgado
⚽ 10' ↓ 65'
M
7
Luis Estupiñan
↓ 72' 🟨 71'
M
90
Wagner Caicedo
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
16
Jose Caicedo
↑ 65'
M
17
Johan Montes
↑ 65'
F
11
Cristopher Arteaga
↑ 72'
F
27
Andres Copete
↑ 84'
M
1
Santiago Razzeto
G
67
Marco Carrasco
M
30
Kener Arce
D
9
Lucas Fernandez
F
19
Anthony Castilo
F
Barcelona SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
José Contreras
G
27
Willian Vargas
D
33
Javier Báez
D
3
Luca Sosa
D
15
Jonathan Perlaza
↓ 79'
D
8
Milton Celiz
↓ 46'
M
32
Matias Lugo
M
16
Luis Cano
M
23
Tomás Martínez
↓ 61'
M
70
Marcos Mejía
↓ 67'
M
80
Sergio Núñez
F
Substitutes
18
Bryan Carabalí
↑ 46'
D
28
Jhonny Quiñónez
↑ 46' 🟨 65'
M
51
Jefferson Wila
↑ 61'
F
21
Héctor Villalba
↑ 67'
F
7
Jandry Gomez
↑ 79'
M
22
Jose Gabriel Cevallos
G
14
Alex Rangel
D
26
Byron Castillo
D
4
Gustavo Vallecilla
D
5
Jean Carlos Montaño
M
63
Klever Caicedo
F
11
Miguel Parrales
F
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
15.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
18.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
19.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
1
0
W
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
08.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
0
1
L
Last matches: Barcelona SC
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Aucas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
06.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Manta FC
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
22.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Mushuc Runa SC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Universidad Catolica
1
1
D
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Emelec
1
0
W
H2H: Tecnico Universitario vs Barcelona SC
21.02.26
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
13.07.25
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
1
D
18.03.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
26.05.24
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
L
01.10.23
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
29.04.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
17.07.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
27.02.22
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
L
01.08.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
28.02.21
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
L
14.10.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
16.02.20
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
1
W
19.05.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
Last matches: Tecnico Universitario
24.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
09.05.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
4
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
1
1
D
H2H at home: Tecnico Universitario
18.03.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
23.11.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
29.04.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
17.07.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
01.08.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
14.10.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
L
19.05.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
Last matches: Barcelona SC
29.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
0
4
L
24.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Delfin SC
2
1
W
22.05.26
CON
Barcelona SC
U. Catolica
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
19.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Macara
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Boca Juniors
0
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
19.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Libertad
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
0
0
D
11.03.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Botafogo
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Barcelona SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Barcelona SC
Argentinos JRS
1
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Barcelona SC
Guayaquil City FC
2
1
W
H2H away: Barcelona SC
18.03.25
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
1
W
23.11.24
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
29.04.23
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
2
2
D
17.07.22
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
W
01.08.21
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
1
2
W
14.10.20
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
2
W
19.05.19
H2H
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
0
3
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.51
Draw 3.23
Home 2.93
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.09
Home 3.69
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 1.75 1.51
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.25 1.97
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 2.75 2.65
Over 3.5 4.17
Under 0.5 6.90
Under 1.5 2.93
Under 1.75 2.59
Under 2.0 2.22
Under 2.25 1.86
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 2.75 1.49
Under 3.5 1.23
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.10
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.05
Home 3.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.30
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 41.00
Under 0.5 9.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.62
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.49
Draw 3.12
Home 2.88
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.12
Draw 1.93
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.76
Draw 2.27
Home 3.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.05
Over 1.0 1.07
Over 1.25 1.23
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.49
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.25 1.90
Over 2.5 2.19
Over 2.75 2.52
Over 3.0 3.56
Over 3.25 3.52
Over 3.5 4.88
Over 3.75 4.96
Over 4.0 13.60
Over 4.25 7.40
Over 4.5 18.50
Over 5.5 24.00
Over 6.5 32.00
Under 0.5 16.50
Under 0.75 7.31
Under 1.0 10.30
Under 1.25 3.69
Under 1.5 3.13
Under 1.75 2.50
Under 2.0 2.19
Under 2.25 1.80
Under 2.5 1.63
Under 2.75 1.44
Under 3.0 1.30
Under 3.25 1.23
Under 3.5 1.20
Under 3.75 1.11
Under 4.0 1.04
Under 4.25 1.03
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.05
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.04
Home 3.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.30
Home 3.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.0 1.68
Over 2.5 2.25
Over 3.0 3.45
Over 3.25 3.80
Over 3.5 4.10
Over 4.0 7.50
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.0 5.60
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 2.0 2.02
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.0 1.26
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.18
Under 4.0 1.06

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 1 3 32:18 14 37
W L W W W
2 16 8 3 5 18:17 1 27
W D W W W
3 16 7 5 4 26:14 12 26
L W D L L
4 15 7 5 3 18:12 6 26
W W L D D
5 16 7 5 4 19:16 3 26
D W L W L
6 15 7 3 5 16:13 3 24
D W W W L
7 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W W D
8 16 6 4 6 13:16 -3 22
W W D D L
9 16 5 5 6 15:18 -3 20
D L L W L
10 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
L D L L L
11 16 4 6 6 19:21 -2 18
D D L L L
12 15 5 2 8 16:16 0 17
W L W L L
13 16 4 5 7 15:18 -3 17
D L W L W
14 16 4 5 7 16:22 -6 17
L W L D W
15 16 4 4 8 8:15 -7 16
L L D L W
16 16 3 3 10 7:19 -12 12
W L D L D