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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
10.10.2026 14:00
The Lamb Ground
Tamworth
Match Timeline
Barrow
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
50'
R. Lovett
Tamworth
⚽
51'
R. Harper
Barrow
🟨
60'
H. Carson
Tamworth
⚽
62'
C. Edwards
Barrow
🔄
67'
R. Calder ↔ B. Acquaye
Tamworth
🔄
67'
T. McGlinchey ↔ J. Hutchinson
Tamworth
🔄
67'
C. Edwards ↔ I. Marriott
Barrow
🟨
74'
A. Allen
Barrow
🔄
80'
A. Allen ↔ A. Alimi-Adetoro
Barrow
🔄
80'
R. Harper ↔ D. Mooney
Barrow
🟨
82'
P. Kalambayi
Barrow
🔄
84'
A. Reid ↔ I. Cameron
Barrow
🔄
88'
T. Handley ↔ S. Agina
Tamworth
🔄
88'
O. Dyson ↔ G. Kelly
Tamworth
⚽
89'
T. Kurtaran
Tamworth
🟨
90+4'
S. Agina
Tamworth
🔄
90+9'
↔ J. Cullinane-Liburd
Tamworth

Tamworth vs Barrow Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.4%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.4%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tamworth Win 46.9%
Draw 7.6%
Barrow Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tamworth1.5
Barrow1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tamworth Tamworth
WWDLW
36 GF / 43 GA
Barrow Barrow
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.71
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
17
BTTS Yes
8
17
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tamworth Tamworth 20 matches
Barrow Barrow 17 matches
Tamworth Statistic Barrow
8 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
36 Goals For 29
43 Goals Against 18
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
17 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 13
17 Over 2.5 9
13 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Barrow's more proactive style and Tamworth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Barrow. Barrow carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 18 points while Tamworth sit 18 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Barrow having the stronger overall control. Barrow look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tamworth Analysis

Tamworth approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 14 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 20:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barrow Analysis

So far, Barrow have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 18 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:15 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Tamworth won 0 times, Barrow won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:13 from Tamworth's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Tamworth wins 0, draws 1, Barrow wins 5

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation