ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tamme Stadium
Referee: J. Frischer
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Vaprus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🟨
44'
M. Seppik
Vaprus
🟨
61'
J. Sild
Vaprus
🟨
65'
S. Kapper
Vaprus
🔄
70'
S. Viidas ↔ J. Poder
Vaprus
🔄
70'
R. Orm ↔ S. Kolvart
Vaprus
🔄
72'
M. Hydara ↔ R. Muur
Tammeka
🔄
72'
G. Uggeri ↔ T. Lang
Tammeka
🔄
78'
U. Nomm ↔ J. Allas
Vaprus
🟨
82'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
86'
Kauan Pereira ↔ K. Kiidron
Tammeka
🔄
86'
V. Vallik ↔ K. Kauber
Vaprus

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.5%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 34.5%
Draw 15.5%
Vaprus Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.7
Vaprus1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
28 GF / 28 GA
Vaprus Vaprus
WLDWL
38 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
2.05
9
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 19 matches
Vaprus Vaprus 20 matches
Tammeka Statistic Vaprus
8 Wins 8
2 Draws 2
9 Losses 10
28 Goals For 38
28 Goals Against 41
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 2.05
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vaprus. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vaprus having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Tammeka Analysis

So far, Tammeka have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 16 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 15:19 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by T. Koskor (5 goals), P. Marin (4 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (3 assists), G. Uggeri (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vaprus Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Vaprus have collected 19 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 19:29 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by H. Valja (8 goals), M. Limberg (3 goals), S. Viidas (3 goals), with creative support from M. Limberg (3 assists), M. Lepik (2 assists), K. Aloe (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 2 times, Vaprus won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:30 from Tammeka's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 2, draws 5, Vaprus wins 8

Lineups

Tammeka
Formation
Vaprus
K. Lapa
K. Lapa
Pedro Manoel
Pedro Manoel
O. Kangaslahti
O. Kangaslahti
P. Marin
P. Marin
P. Veelma
P. Veelma
Thomas Lisboa
Thomas Lisboa
M. Hydara
M. Hydara
R. Kallas
R. Kallas
G. Uggeri
G. Uggeri
T. Koskor
T. Koskor
Kauan Pereira
Kauan Pereira
O. Nomm
O. Nomm
M. Seppik
M. Seppik
M. Lipp
M. Lipp
U. Nomm
U. Nomm
J. Sild
J. Sild
H. Valja
H. Valja
R. Orm
R. Orm
S. Viidas
S. Viidas
S. Kapper
S. Kapper
V. Vallik
V. Vallik
M. Limberg
M. Limberg
Tammeka 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
26
K. Lapa
3
Pedro Manoel
44
O. Kangaslahti
79
P. Marin
23
P. Veelma
🟨 82'
7
Thomas Lisboa
🟨 25'
99
M. Hydara
↓ 72'
28
R. Kallas
10
G. Uggeri
↓ 72'
19
T. Koskor
89
Kauan Pereira
↓ 86'
Substitutes
77
C. Kiidjarv
4
M. Vaino
6
M. Karis
8
K. Kiidron
↑ 86'
11
R. Muur
↑ 72'
14
K. Karis
22
T. Lang
↑ 72'
25
A. Viinapuu
29
R. Silov
72
G. Tuur
Vaprus 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
16
O. Nomm
43
M. Seppik
🟨 44'
28
M. Lipp
66
U. Nomm
↓ 78'
90
J. Sild
🟨 61'
20
H. Valja
14
R. Orm
↓ 70'
10
S. Viidas
↓ 70'
17
S. Kapper
🟨 65'
7
V. Vallik
↓ 86'
42
M. Limberg
Substitutes
1
H. Vainu
12
M. Ristimets
9
J. Poder
↑ 70'
11
K. Kauber
↑ 86'
19
A. Korre
26
O. Vahemets
47
S. Kolvart
↑ 70'
64
J. Allas
↑ 78'
86
R. Roosson
88
E. Keskula
Last matches: Tammeka
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
1
W
Last matches: Vaprus
16.06.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
3
1
W
24.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
6
L
16.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
2
1
W
09.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
2
0
W
02.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
2
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
21.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
18.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
0
2
L
08.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
04.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
0
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
1
2
L
14.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
1
7
L
07.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Paide
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Trans Narva
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
04.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Metta / LU
0
3
L
31.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
Kuressaare
9
2
W
24.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
H2H: Tammeka vs Vaprus
13.06.26
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
18.04.26
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
0
0
D
16.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
4
L
15.08.25
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
8
1
L
17.05.25
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
2
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
5
L
16.02.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
6
1
W
18.09.24
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
2
2
D
02.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
1
L
23.05.24
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
1
1
D
09.03.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
0
W
05.11.23
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
2
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
27.06.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
2
3
L
08.04.23
H2H
Vaprus
Tammeka
1
0
L
Last matches: Tammeka
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H at home: Tammeka
13.06.26
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
16.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
4
L
29.03.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
5
L
16.02.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
6
1
W
02.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
1
L
09.03.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
0
W
26.08.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
27.06.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
2
3
L
Last matches: Vaprus
16.05.26
Mei
Vaprus
Laagri
2
1
W
26.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
21.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Kuressaare
1
0
W
12.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
Flora Tallinn
0
2
L
08.04.26
Mei
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Trans Narva
1
2
L
14.03.26
Mei
Vaprus
Nõmme United
1
7
L
08.02.26
Fri
Vaprus
Tallinna Kalev
6
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Vaprus
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
H2H away: Vaprus
13.06.26
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
16.09.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
4
W
29.03.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
5
W
16.02.25
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
6
1
L
02.08.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
1
W
09.03.24
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
1
0
L
26.08.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
27.06.23
H2H
Tammeka
Vaprus
2
3
W

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 4 0 45:13 32 43
D W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 17 9 3 5 29:14 15 30
D L D L W
4 16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 17 6 1 10 33:40 -7 19
W L W L L
8 17 6 1 10 21:30 -9 19
L L L W L
9 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga