ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
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Tamme Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.75
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.3%
1.75
BTTS No
56%
2.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.62
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.19
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 3-0
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 83.3%
Draw 8.3%
Trans Narva Win 8.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.74
Trans Narva1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
30 GF / 29 GA
Trans Narva Trans Narva
WLDWL
23 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.96
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
2.21
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 21 matches
Trans Narva Trans Narva 24 matches
Tammeka Statistic Trans Narva
9 Wins 4
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 15
30 Goals For 23
29 Goals Against 53
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.96
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 2.21
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 20
12 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Tammeka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 17 points compared to Trans Narva in 10 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Trans Narva. Trans Narva arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trans Narva having the stronger overall control.

Tammeka Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Tammeka have collected 17 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 15:19 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Koskor (5 goals), P. Marin (4 goals), Pedro Manoel (3 goals), with creative support from C. Ignatius (3 assists), G. Uggeri (2 assists), Pedro Manoel (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Trans Narva Analysis

Trans Narva sit 10 with 9 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 11:39, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Gero (5 goals), S. Agaptsev (2 goals), C. Campagna (1 goals), with creative support from D. Poliakov (3 assists), A. Ivanyushin (2 assists), S. Agaptsev (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 6 times, Trans Narva won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Tammeka's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.7%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 6, draws 2, Trans Narva wins 7
Last matches: Tammeka
17.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
2
1
W
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
01.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
0
W
25.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Laagri
0
1
L
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
18.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
07.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
3
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
21.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
2
W
14.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
2
3
L
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
27.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Riga Mariners
1
1
D
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
4
L
31.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Nõmme United
6
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
Last matches: Trans Narva
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
13.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
2
L
30.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
20.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
1
0
W
16.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
01.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
0
3
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
18.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
1
2
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
07.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
W
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
21.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
1
W
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
07.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
1
2
L
25.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Tartu Welco
2
2
D
21.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Super Nova
1
3
L
H2H: Tammeka vs Trans Narva
07.04.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
3
0
L
17.01.26
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
1
2
W
08.11.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
W
09.08.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
4
1
L
03.05.25
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
4
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
2
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
3
D
31.08.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
1
W
27.05.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
2
L
16.03.24
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
0
5
W
07.10.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
2
0
L
15.09.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
0
W
11.06.23
H2H
Trans Narva
Tammeka
2
0
L
28.04.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
W
Last matches: Tammeka
13.06.26
Mei
Tammeka
Vaprus
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
1
L
15.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Nõmme United
3
1
W
08.05.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kuressaare
1
0
W
22.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
FC Levadia Tallinn
1
2
L
12.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Paide
1
4
L
03.04.26
Mei
Tammeka
Flora Tallinn
3
1
W
08.03.26
Mei
Tammeka
Kalju Nomme
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Tammeka
Viimsi
2
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Tammeka
Tallinna Kalev
0
3
L
H2H at home: Tammeka
08.11.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
2
L
03.11.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
3
D
27.05.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
2
L
15.09.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
0
W
28.04.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
W
Last matches: Trans Narva
16.06.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
0
0
D
30.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Laagri
0
3
L
09.05.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Vaprus
0
2
L
26.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
7
L
22.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
0
6
L
11.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1
5
L
03.04.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Kalju Nomme
1
2
L
15.03.26
Mei
Trans Narva
Paide
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Kuressaare
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
Trans Narva
Vaprus
2
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
Trans Narva
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
0
D
H2H away: Trans Narva
08.11.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
2
W
03.11.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
3
D
27.05.24
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
0
2
W
15.09.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
3
0
L
28.04.23
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
1
1
D
30.10.22
H2H
Tammeka
Trans Narva
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 3.50
Home 1.75
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.30
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.75
Home 2.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 4.5 4.33
Over 5.5 7.50
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.5 4.50
Under 2.5 2.25
Under 3.5 1.50
Under 4.5 1.20
Under 5.5 1.07
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.40
Draw 3.60
Home 1.68
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.94
Draw 2.18
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.69
Home 1.99
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.25 1.07
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 1.75 1.18
Over 2.0 1.24
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 1.96
Over 3.25 2.21
Over 3.5 2.46
Over 3.75 2.92
Over 4.0 3.76
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.45
Over 4.75 5.60
Over 5.0 7.90
Over 5.5 8.60
Over 6.5 11.00
Over 7.5 17.00
Under 0.5 12.30
Under 1.0 9.20
Under 1.25 5.95
Under 1.5 4.30
Under 1.75 3.84
Under 2.0 3.34
Under 2.25 2.58
Under 2.5 2.16
Under 2.75 1.94
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.53
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.31
Under 4.0 1.19
Under 4.25 1.16
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 4.75 1.08
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.02
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 3.75
Home 1.62
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.60
Draw 2.45
Home 2.16
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.85
Home 1.96
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.0 1.26
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.61
Over 2.75 1.76
Over 3.0 2.00
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.50
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.0 3.80
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.40
Over 5.0 7.50
Under 1.5 4.20
Under 2.0 3.40
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.15
Under 2.75 1.93
Under 3.0 1.70
Under 3.25 1.55
Under 3.5 1.43
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.22
Under 4.25 1.19
Under 4.5 1.16
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.06

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 13 3 0 44:12 32 42
W W W W W
2 15 10 0 5 32:16 16 30
W L W W W
3 16 9 2 5 28:13 15 29
L D L W W
4 16 7 4 5 24:20 4 25
W D D L L
5 15 6 2 7 17:20 -3 20
W D L W W
6 16 6 2 8 20:31 -11 20
L D W L W
7 16 6 1 9 20:27 -7 19
L L W L L
8 16 5 2 9 17:26 -9 17
D W D W L
9 16 5 1 10 30:39 -9 16
L W L L L
10 16 3 1 12 11:39 -28 10
D L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga