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ESTONIA › MEISTRILIIGA
10.10.2026 14:00
Tamme Stadium
Referee: E. Reinumagi
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Nõmme United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
G. Uggeri · Assist: P. Marin
Tammeka
⚽
35'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
46'
A. Torres ↔ N. Vassiljev
Nõmme United
🔄
46'
K. Laanelaid ↔ T. Evans
Nõmme United
🟨
47'
P. Marin
Tammeka
🟨
55'
Z. Beglarishvili
Nõmme United
🔄
63'
H. Pedmanson ↔ L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
⚽
69'
M. Hydara · Assist: Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🟨
72'
L. Ounpuu
Tammeka
🔄
73'
A. Frolov ↔ K. Oostenbrink
Nõmme United
🔄
73'
K. Matas ↔ E. Ounapuu
Nõmme United
🟨
79'
T. Lang
Tammeka
🟨
81'
H. Jarvelaid
Nõmme United
🔄
81'
T. Lang ↔ R. Silov
Tammeka
🔄
81'
P. Marin ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
⚽
82'
Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🔄
86'
Z. Beglarishvili ↔ M. Miil
Nõmme United
🔄
86'
Thomas Lisboa ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka
🔄
86'
M. Sambe ↔ R. Muur
Tammeka

Tammeka vs Nõmme United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 65.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
65.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 65.2%
Draw 5.4%
Nõmme United Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.83
Nõmme United1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
50 GF / 56 GA
Nõmme United Nõmme United
WLDWL
67 GF / 87 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
2.42
17
BTTS Yes
29
20
Over 2.5
33
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 35 matches
Nõmme United Nõmme United 36 matches
Tammeka Statistic Nõmme United
17 Wins 13
3 Draws 2
15 Losses 21
50 Goals For 67
56 Goals Against 87
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 2.42
17 BTTS Yes 29
25 Over 1.5 34
20 Over 2.5 33
14 Over 3.5 22
11 Clean Sheets 1
9 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nõmme United having the stronger overall control. Tammeka arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 44 points compared to Nõmme United in 9 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nõmme United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka sit 5 with 44 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 14 wins, 2 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 37:47, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nõmme United Analysis

Nõmme United sit 9 with 28 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 1 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 47:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 6 times, Nõmme United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:8 from Tammeka's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 6, draws 1, Nõmme United wins 1

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 24 6 1 85:22 63 78
W W D W W
2 31 18 1 12 60:44 16 55
L L W W D
3 31 16 6 9 50:38 12 54
W L W W L
4 32 15 6 11 54:33 21 51
L D L W W
5 31 15 2 14 42:49 -7 47
L W L L W
6 31 13 2 16 43:47 -4 41
W W D W L
7 31 10 6 15 43:61 -18 36
D D L L L
8 31 10 5 16 34:49 -15 35
W W D L L
9 32 10 1 21 50:74 -24 31
W L L L L
10 31 5 5 21 24:68 -44 20
L D D L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga