ESTONIA MEISTRILIIGA
26.08.2026 16:00
Tamme Stadium
Referee: R. Maalinn
Tammeka
Match Timeline
Flora Tallinn
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
24'
R. Valdmets
Flora Tallinn
🟨
25'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
33'
S. Alamaa · Assist: T. Usta
Flora Tallinn
36'
M. Sambe · Assist: Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🟨
38'
S. Alamaa
Flora Tallinn
48'
Pedro Manoel · Assist: Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🟨
50'
J. Amijekori
Tammeka
🟨
62'
Thomas Lisboa
Tammeka
🔄
62'
T. Usta ↔ R. Alliku
Flora Tallinn
🔄
62'
I. Antonov ↔ S. Tovstik
Flora Tallinn
🔄
64'
R. Muur ↔ Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🔄
64'
Thomas Lisboa ↔ M. Hydara
Tammeka
🔄
65'
M. Kukkonen ↔ D. Zotov
Flora Tallinn
🔄
72'
L. Ounpuu ↔ R. Laabus
Tammeka
🔄
72'
T. Lang ↔ H. Pedmanson
Tammeka
🟨
75'
M. Kolobov
Flora Tallinn
77'
P. Veelma
Tammeka
🔄
81'
G. Uggeri ↔ M. Vaino
Tammeka
🔄
81'
D. Kuraksin ↔ A. Kollo
Flora Tallinn
🟨
85'
S. Tovstik
Flora Tallinn
🟨
90'
Kauan Pereira
Tammeka
🟨
90+2'
A. Kollo
Flora Tallinn

Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tammeka Win 46.4%
Draw 8%
Flora Tallinn Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tammeka1.33
Flora Tallinn1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tammeka Tammeka
WWDLW
37 GF / 40 GA
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn
WLDWL
60 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
24
0
Shots on Goal
1.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tammeka Tammeka 27 matches
Flora Tallinn Flora Tallinn 35 matches
Tammeka Statistic Flora Tallinn
13 Wins 19
3 Draws 2
11 Losses 14
37 Goals For 60
40 Goals Against 44
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 24
9 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 13
7 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 1.33
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 2.17
0% Ball Possession 16.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Flora Tallinn's more proactive style and Tammeka's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Flora Tallinn. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flora Tallinn having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tammeka Analysis

Tammeka come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 29 points after 20 matches. With 9 wins, 2 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:31, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

Flora Tallinn Analysis

Flora Tallinn come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 39 points after 21 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a 42:24 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka won 3 times, Flora Tallinn won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:27 from Tammeka's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92%)
Predicted formations: Tammeka - / Flora Tallinn 4-3-3
H2H summary: Tammeka wins 3, draws 1, Flora Tallinn wins 11

Standings

Meistriliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 19 5 1 66:20 46 62
W W W W W
2 26 16 0 10 51:33 18 48
W W L L W
3 26 13 5 8 46:24 22 44
L L L W W
4 25 12 6 7 40:33 7 42
L W W D W
5 25 13 2 10 33:35 -2 41
W L W W W
6 26 10 1 15 36:43 -7 31
L W W L L
7 25 9 4 12 34:46 -12 31
W D L L D
8 26 8 4 14 30:42 -12 28
W D L W W
9 26 8 1 17 42:61 -19 25
L L L L L
10 26 5 2 19 19:60 -41 17
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga