KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 89%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 90.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
89%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
90.2%
-
Probability Distribution
Talanta Win 43.8%
Draw 16.4%
Naivas Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talanta0.94
Naivas0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talanta Talanta
WWDLW
28 GF / 24 GA
Naivas Naivas
WLDWL
29 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
11
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talanta Talanta 29 matches
Naivas Naivas 29 matches
Talanta Statistic Naivas
11 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
10 Losses 10
28 Goals For 29
24 Goals Against 26
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
11 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 4
13 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Naivas having the stronger overall control. Talanta have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Naivas.

Talanta Analysis

Talanta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 41 points from 29 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 28:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Naivas Analysis

From their first 29 matches, Naivas have collected 41 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 28:24 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Talanta won 0 times, Naivas won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Talanta's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Talanta wins 0, draws 0, Naivas wins 2