KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.3%
-
BTTS Yes
68.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Talanta Win 78.3%
Draw 14.6%
Nairobi City Stars Win 7.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talanta1.18
Nairobi City Stars0.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talanta Talanta
WWDLW
46 GF / 37 GA
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars
WLDWL
28 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
15
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talanta Talanta 36 matches
Nairobi City Stars Nairobi City Stars 35 matches
Talanta Statistic Nairobi City Stars
15 Wins 8
9 Draws 12
12 Losses 15
46 Goals For 28
37 Goals Against 36
1.28 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
15 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 8
8 Over 3.5 4
16 Clean Sheets 11
12 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Talanta's more proactive style and Nairobi City Stars's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nairobi City Stars having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nairobi City Stars.

Talanta Analysis

So far, Talanta have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 54 points from 36 matches. Their overall return of 15 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 46:37 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nairobi City Stars Analysis

Nairobi City Stars sit 14 with 39 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 31:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Talanta won 3 times, Nairobi City Stars won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Talanta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.9%)
H2H summary: Talanta wins 3, draws 4, Nairobi City Stars wins 3
Last matches: Talanta
13.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
2
3
L
01.06.26
Sup
Talanta
3K
2
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
13.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
3
L
01.06.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
23.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
09.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Vihiga United FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
18.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
03.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
0
3
L
28.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
1
1
D
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
07.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
1
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
3
2
W
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
31.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
0
0
D
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
H2H: Talanta vs Nairobi City Stars
07.06.26
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
04.11.25
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
0
1
W
21.02.25
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
3
L
06.01.24
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
3
0
L
20.06.23
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
2
2
D
04.12.22
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
1
2
W
12.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
12.06.22
H2H
Nairobi City Stars
Talanta
2
2
D
08.01.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
2
L
Last matches: Talanta
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
09.01.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
2
1
W
13.12.25
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
2
1
W
08.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Talanta
3K
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
0
1
L
H2H at home: Talanta
07.06.26
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
21.02.25
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
3
L
20.06.23
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
2
2
D
12.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
08.01.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
2
L
Last matches: Nairobi City Stars
27.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
17.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
03.05.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Equity Bank
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Soy United
1
2
L
12.04.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
22.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Naivas
1
3
L
01.03.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Nzoia Sugar
0
0
D
15.02.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Migori Youth
0
1
L
25.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
3K
1
1
D
10.01.26
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Gucha Stars
2
2
D
07.12.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MCF
0
0
D
22.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Mwatate United
2
0
W
09.11.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Fortune Sacco
1
1
D
30.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
12.10.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
28.09.25
Sup
Nairobi City Stars
MOFA
0
1
L
H2H away: Nairobi City Stars
07.06.26
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
L
21.02.25
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
3
W
20.06.23
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
2
2
D
12.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
0
0
D
08.01.22
H2H
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
1
2
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation