KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 96.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66%
-
BTTS BTTS No
96.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
97.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Talanta Win 30.6%
Draw 3.4%
Mombasa Elite Win 66%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talanta0.97
Mombasa Elite1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talanta Talanta
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite
WLDWL
44 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
13
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talanta Talanta 31 matches
Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 30 matches
Talanta Statistic Mombasa Elite
11 Wins 20
9 Draws 2
11 Losses 8
32 Goals For 44
31 Goals Against 26
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
13 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 13
12 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Mombasa Elite having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Mombasa Elite carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 65 points while Talanta sit 11 on 42, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mombasa Elite.

Talanta Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Talanta have collected 42 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 32:31 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Mombasa Elite Analysis

Mombasa Elite approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 65 points after 31 outings. They have recorded 21 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a 46:26 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Talanta won 1 times, Mombasa Elite won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Talanta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
H2H summary: Talanta wins 1, draws 0, Mombasa Elite wins 1
Last matches: Talanta
13.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
2
3
L
07.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Talanta
3K
2
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
13.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
1
1
D
07.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
27.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
0
D
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
2
1
W
03.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
19.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
03.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
3
1
W
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
15.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
27.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
1
0
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
15.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
4
0
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
H2H: Talanta vs Mombasa Elite
10.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
07.12.25
H2H
Mombasa Elite
Talanta
2
1
L
Last matches: Talanta
07.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
22.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
09.01.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
2
1
W
13.12.25
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
2
1
W
08.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Talanta
3K
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
0
1
L
H2H at home: Talanta
10.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
Last matches: Mombasa Elite
13.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Naivas
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
24.05.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Mwatate United
1
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
11.04.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kibera Black Stars
0
2
L
22.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
07.03.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Equity Bank
3
1
W
20.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Darajani Gogo
2
1
W
01.02.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
11.01.26
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Soy United
0
1
L
12.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Migori Youth
2
3
L
02.12.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nairobi City Stars
0
1
L
29.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MOFA
0
4
L
15.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Kisumu All Stars
0
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
Nzoia Sugar
2
2
D
26.10.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
3K
0
2
L
27.09.25
Sup
Mombasa Elite
MCF
1
0
W
H2H away: Mombasa Elite
10.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
L

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation