KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Talanta Win 34.5%
Draw 12%
Fortune Sacco Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Talanta1.05
Fortune Sacco1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Talanta Talanta
WWDLW
38 GF / 31 GA
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco
WLDWL
53 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.61
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
13
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Talanta Talanta 33 matches
Fortune Sacco Fortune Sacco 33 matches
Talanta Statistic Fortune Sacco
13 Wins 16
9 Draws 9
11 Losses 8
38 Goals For 53
31 Goals Against 30
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.61
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
13 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 9
15 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortune Sacco. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fortune Sacco having the stronger overall control.

Talanta Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Talanta have collected 48 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, while the 38:31 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Fortune Sacco Analysis

From their first 33 matches, Fortune Sacco have collected 57 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 16 wins, 9 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 53:30 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Talanta won 1 times, Fortune Sacco won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Talanta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: Talanta wins 1, draws 0, Fortune Sacco wins 1
Last matches: Talanta
07.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
01.06.26
Sup
Talanta
3K
2
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
3
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
02.05.26
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
3
3
D
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
19.04.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
0
0
D
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
03.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
2
L
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
23.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
1
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
08.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
0
0
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
22.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
31.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
18.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
1
2
L
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
07.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
27.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
0
4
L
17.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
1
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
02.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
1
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
19.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
22.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
01.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
0
0
D
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
15.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
0
1
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
18.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
0
W
H2H: Talanta vs Fortune Sacco
22.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
17.12.25
H2H
Fortune Sacco
Talanta
3
1
L
01.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
Last matches: Talanta
07.06.26
Sup
Talanta
Nairobi City Stars
5
1
W
27.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Nzoia Sugar
2
0
W
10.05.26
Sup
Talanta
Mombasa Elite
3
0
W
25.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Naivas
1
4
L
11.04.26
Sup
Talanta
Mwatate United
2
1
W
29.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Kibera Black Stars
1
2
L
14.03.26
Sup
Talanta
Darajani Gogo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Kisumu All Stars
5
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Talanta
Vihiga United FC
3
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Talanta
Equity Bank
0
0
D
09.01.26
Sup
Talanta
MCF
2
1
W
13.12.25
Sup
Talanta
MOFA
0
0
D
03.12.25
Sup
Talanta
Kabati Youth FC
2
0
W
22.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Soy United
2
1
W
08.11.25
Sup
Talanta
Luanda Villa
0
1
L
29.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Gucha Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Talanta
3K
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Talanta
Migori Youth
0
1
L
H2H at home: Talanta
22.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
W
01.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
Last matches: Fortune Sacco
01.06.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nzoia Sugar
1
3
L
10.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
3K
1
2
L
06.05.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Soy United
1
1
D
25.04.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kibera Black Stars
1
1
D
28.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Naivas
3
3
D
07.03.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kabati Youth FC
9
0
W
21.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Nairobi City Stars
2
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Luanda Villa
2
2
D
25.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Darajani Gogo
4
2
W
10.01.26
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Kisumu All Stars
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mwatate United
3
1
W
04.12.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Migori Youth
0
1
L
30.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Vihiga United FC
1
0
W
15.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
MOFA
1
2
L
02.11.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Gucha Stars
3
2
W
25.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Equity Bank
1
0
W
05.10.25
Sup
Fortune Sacco
Mombasa Elite
1
2
L
H2H away: Fortune Sacco
22.05.26
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
4
3
L
01.10.22
H2H
Talanta
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 37 25 5 7 56:28 28 80
?
2 37 23 7 7 61:25 36 76
?
3 37 24 3 10 50:31 19 75
?
4 37 20 11 6 54:28 26 71
?
5 37 16 15 6 50:29 21 63
?
6 37 17 9 11 46:29 17 60
?
7 37 17 9 11 58:41 17 60
?
8 37 16 9 12 51:38 13 57
?
9 37 15 8 14 32:32 0 53
?
10 37 13 10 14 30:27 3 49
?
11 37 11 14 12 36:36 0 47
?
12 37 12 7 18 30:50 -20 43
?
13 37 11 8 18 32:39 -7 41
?
14 37 9 12 16 32:41 -9 39
?
15 37 10 8 19 31:51 -20 38
?
16 37 9 9 19 22:47 -25 36
?
17 37 9 8 20 24:48 -24 35
?
18 37 9 10 18 24:39 -15 34
?
19 37 9 9 19 29:54 -25 30
?
20 37 6 7 24 27:62 -35 25
?