URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 60.2%
Draw 8.9%
Plaza Colonia Win 31%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo0.81
Plaza Colonia1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia
WLDWL
19 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
7
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 16 matches
Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 16 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic Plaza Colonia
4 Wins 7
5 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
13 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 13
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
7 BTTS Yes 6
12 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Plaza Colonia arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Plaza Colonia having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Plaza Colonia.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Plaza Colonia Analysis

With 13 points from 10 games and a place of 7, Plaza Colonia still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 10:11, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 2 times, Plaza Colonia won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:13 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 2, draws 3, Plaza Colonia wins 5
Last matches: Tacuarembo
13.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
0
2
L
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
2
L
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
01.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
0
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
1
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
05.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
3
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
15.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
2
2
D
09.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
1
D
25.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
0
0
D
19.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Albion FC
2
0
W
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
04.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
La Luz
1
0
W
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
20.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Atenas
1
2
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
05.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Sportivo Huracan
0
0
D
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
22.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
3
1
W
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Fenix
0
1
L
24.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
0
W
17.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
1
1
D
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
3
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
03.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
20.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Liverpool Montevideo
0
1
L
H2H: Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
17.08.24
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
1
0
L
19.05.24
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
10.03.18
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
0
L
17.05.14
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
3
W
14.12.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
18.05.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
4
1
W
08.12.12
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
2
1
L
28.04.12
H2H
Plaza Colonia
Tacuarembo
1
1
D
26.11.11
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
Last matches: Tacuarembo
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
09.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
1
D
19.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Albion FC
2
0
W
05.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rampla Juniors
3
1
W
20.09.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Central Espanol
0
0
D
30.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
2
D
10.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
1
1
D
03.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
20.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
0
W
22.06.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Artigas
2
0
W
15.06.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
2
1
W
H2H at home: Tacuarembo
19.05.24
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
05.08.18
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
L
14.12.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
18.05.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
4
1
W
26.11.11
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
Last matches: Plaza Colonia
11.07.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
CA River Plate
2
3
L
28.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Cerrito
0
1
L
14.06.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Paysandu
2
1
W
30.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
2
L
16.05.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Colón
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Miramar
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Rentistas
0
0
D
08.11.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Danubio
0
2
L
25.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
2
0
W
05.10.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Racing Montevideo
1
0
W
20.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Boston River
1
6
L
06.09.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Penarol
0
1
L
23.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
10.08.25
Pri
Plaza Colonia
Wanderers
0
0
D
16.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Oriental
2
1
W
04.11.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Juventud
1
0
W
13.10.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
SUD America
3
3
D
20.09.24
Seg
Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Montevideo
0
3
L
H2H away: Plaza Colonia
19.05.24
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
05.08.18
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
1
W
14.12.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D
18.05.13
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
4
1
L
26.11.11
H2H
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
1
1
D

Standings

Segunda Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 7 6 3 23:21 2 27
W D W L L
2 16 7 4 5 19:13 6 25
L W L L W
3 16 6 7 3 23:18 5 25
D L D D W
4 15 6 6 3 27:18 9 24
W L D D W
5 16 6 6 4 18:14 4 24
W W D W D
6 16 7 2 7 23:22 1 23
L D W W W
7 16 6 5 5 17:18 -1 23
W L W W L
8 16 5 7 4 17:18 -1 22
L L L W W
9 16 6 3 7 23:29 -6 21
W W D L W
10 16 4 6 6 17:19 -2 18
L D W L W
11 16 4 5 7 17:20 -3 17
D L W L L
12 15 3 8 4 11:14 -3 17
L D W L L
13 15 4 5 6 13:17 -4 17
D L W L W
14 15 3 2 10 15:22 -7 11
W L L L W
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Apertura)
Promotion - Segunda Division (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)