06.09.2026 17:00
Tacuarembo
Match Timeline
Oriental
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
90+3'
C. Paiva
Oriental

Tacuarembo vs Oriental Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds 2.33
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.65
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
2.33
BTTS No
60.3%
1.65
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.46
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 30.9%
Draw 15.9%
Oriental Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo0.84
Oriental1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
16 GF / 25 GA
Oriental Oriental
WLDWL
30 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 22 matches
Oriental Oriental 23 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic Oriental
6 Wins 9
6 Draws 8
10 Losses 6
16 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 23
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 17
3 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Oriental's more proactive style and Tacuarembo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Oriental. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Oriental having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Tacuarembo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Oriental carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 13 points while Tacuarembo sit 14 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Tacuarembo Analysis

With 3 points from 6 games and a place of 14, Tacuarembo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Oriental Analysis

Oriental approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 13 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 3 times, Oriental won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:22 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 3, draws 5, Oriental wins 6

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D