URUGUAY SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.68
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.6%
1.30
BTTS No
50.8%
1.68
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.47
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.00
Correct Score 2-0
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 51.7%
Draw 5.4%
Fenix Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo0.94
Fenix1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
Fenix Fenix
WLDWL
31 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
8
BTTS Yes
14
3
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 20 matches
Fenix Fenix 21 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic Fenix
6 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
8 Losses 5
16 Goals For 31
22 Goals Against 24
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
8 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 15
3 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Fenix's more proactive style and Tacuarembo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fenix. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fenix having the stronger overall control. Tacuarembo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fenix carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 11 points while Tacuarembo sit 14 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fenix Analysis

Fenix approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 11 points after 6 outings. With 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:7, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 3 times, Fenix won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 3, draws 1, Fenix wins 4
Last matches: Tacuarembo
16.08.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
0
W
09.08.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Miramar
1
1
D
02.08.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
25.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
13.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
0
2
L
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
27.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
2
L
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
13.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
01.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
0
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
17.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
1
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
26.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
0
1
L
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
05.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
2
3
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
Last matches: Fenix
16.08.26
Seg
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
4
L
08.08.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
02.08.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
1
1
D
26.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
1
0
W
13.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Paysandu
0
1
L
05.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
2
0
W
27.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
2
3
L
20.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
2
2
D
13.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Colón
1
1
D
06.06.26
Seg
Fenix
CA River Plate
3
1
W
31.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
1
1
D
25.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Miramar
1
1
D
17.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
L
09.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
02.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
1
0
W
27.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
4
1
W
19.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
12.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
4
1
W
05.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
W
22.03.26
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
0
0
D
H2H: Tacuarembo vs Fenix
17.05.26
H2H
Fenix
Tacuarembo
1
2
W
05.04.26
H2H
Fenix
Tacuarembo
3
2
L
10.10.25
H2H
Fenix
Tacuarembo
4
2
L
20.07.25
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
22.03.25
H2H
Fenix
Tacuarembo
0
1
W
29.10.23
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
L
21.02.15
H2H
Fenix
Tacuarembo
0
1
W
23.08.14
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
L
Last matches: Tacuarembo
02.08.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
CA River Plate
1
0
W
25.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Plaza Colonia
0
2
L
05.07.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
0
0
D
20.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Paysandu
1
0
W
07.06.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
24.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
0
W
10.05.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rentistas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Sportivo Huracan
0
2
L
29.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
Cerrito
1
1
D
17.03.26
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
09.11.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
1
D
19.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Albion FC
2
0
W
05.10.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Rampla Juniors
3
1
W
20.09.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Central Espanol
0
0
D
30.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
La Luz
1
1
D
20.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Colón
2
2
D
10.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Oriental
1
1
D
03.08.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Uruguay Montevideo
2
0
W
20.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
05.07.25
Seg
Tacuarembo
Atenas
1
0
W
H2H at home: Tacuarembo
20.07.25
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
29.10.23
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
L
23.08.14
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
L
Last matches: Fenix
02.08.26
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
1
1
D
13.07.26
Seg
Fenix
Paysandu
0
1
L
27.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
2
3
L
13.06.26
Seg
Fenix
Colón
1
1
D
25.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Miramar
1
1
D
09.05.26
Seg
Fenix
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
27.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
4
1
W
19.04.26
Seg
Fenix
Sportivo Huracan
1
2
L
15.03.26
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
1
1
D
18.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Central Espanol
1
2
L
03.10.25
Seg
Fenix
Rentistas
0
0
D
22.09.25
Seg
Fenix
Cerrito
2
2
D
07.09.25
Seg
Fenix
Deportivo Maldonado
2
0
W
24.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Uruguay Montevideo
1
0
W
10.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Rampla Juniors
1
0
W
03.08.25
Seg
Fenix
Atenas
0
1
L
20.07.25
Seg
Fenix
Tacuarembo
0
0
D
06.07.25
Seg
Fenix
La Luz
2
2
D
22.06.25
Seg
Fenix
Colón
3
1
W
07.06.25
Seg
Fenix
Oriental
0
2
L
H2H away: Fenix
20.07.25
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
0
0
D
29.10.23
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
W
23.08.14
H2H
Tacuarembo
Fenix
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.41
Draw 2.94
Home 2.97
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.31
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.63
Over 2.0 1.90
Over 2.25 2.22
Over 2.5 2.53
Over 2.75 3.04
Under 1.25 3.20
Under 1.5 2.51
Under 1.75 2.21
Under 2.0 1.88
Under 2.25 1.62
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 2.75 1.34
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.00
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 1.95
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.34
Draw 2.86
Home 3.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.14
Draw 1.82
Home 4.12
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.14
Home 3.58
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.10
Over 1.25 1.27
Over 1.5 1.44
Over 1.75 1.60
Over 2.0 1.80
Over 2.25 2.13
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.92
Over 3.0 3.92
Over 3.25 4.34
Over 3.5 4.75
Over 4.0 9.30
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 6.60
Under 0.75 5.59
Under 1.0 5.20
Under 1.25 3.14
Under 1.5 2.43
Under 1.75 2.17
Under 2.0 1.82
Under 2.25 1.62
Under 2.5 1.47
Under 2.75 1.31
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.14
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 3.05
Home 3.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.04
Home 4.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.14
Over 3.5 3.80
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3
Fenix Away
6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D