03.10.2026 22:00

Tacuarembo vs Atenas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.58
0 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
60.6%
2.29 ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
1.75 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 25.3%
Draw 14.1%
Atenas Win 60.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo0.93
Atenas1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
21 GF / 31 GA
Atenas Atenas
WLDWL
34 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
11
BTTS Yes
13
5
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 26 matches
Atenas Atenas 26 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic Atenas
6 Wins 12
9 Draws 5
11 Losses 9
21 Goals For 34
31 Goals Against 29
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
11 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atenas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atenas having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 3 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atenas Analysis

Atenas sit 12 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 5:11 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 0 times, Atenas won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 0, draws 2, Atenas wins 3

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D